Contrary1
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Thu Sep-04-08 01:36 PM
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Here's the GOP convention bump so far: |
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Sept. 2: Obama 278 McCain 247 Ties 13 Sept. 4: Obama 298 McCain 227 Ties 13 http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Maps/Sep04.htmlMy friends, I would expect an even bigger bump after McCain speaks tonight. :patriot:
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Iris
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Thu Sep-04-08 01:38 PM
Response to Original message |
1. I wonderr - what's the opposite of a bump? |
Curtland1015
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Thu Sep-04-08 01:39 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
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Works out perfectly if your referring to McCain.
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norepubsin08
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Thu Sep-04-08 01:59 PM
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Pacifist Patriot
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Thu Sep-04-08 02:16 PM
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CatBO
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Thu Sep-04-08 02:26 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
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Electoral-Vote.com has good data, but remember these are all polls that are usually several days if not weeks old, or older.
The "bump" came from a CNN-Time poll in 3 states that does show an improved tack toward Obama, but seems to be coinciding with our convention.
If we retain this bump 3 weeks from now after a lot of other state polls, I will be convinced.
The daily trackers from Gallup and Rasmussen are showing very little "general" bump, if any (actually negative on Tuesday night) so we might be in the clear but as far as e-v.com goes - since it's all state polls and a little delayed I will reserve my joy until next Thursday. :)
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SoCalDem
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Thu Sep-04-08 03:42 PM
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Iris
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Thu Sep-04-08 03:48 PM
Response to Reply #14 |
15. best answer yet! Although, I had another picture for "dump"! |
wryter2000
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Thu Sep-04-08 01:58 PM
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That's a pretty reliable website. IIRC, the guy who runs it is a Republican, but he's interested in data, not lies.
I wonder which polls he's basing this on.
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Errrica
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Thu Sep-04-08 02:06 PM
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Thanks, Sarah Palin! SUCKER.
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gratefultobelib
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Thu Sep-04-08 02:17 PM
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7. But aren't the polls based on numbers before Palin's speech? P.S. Are you SURE |
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the guy who runs this is a Republican? I check this site frequently and his narrative sounds like he's on our side.
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wryter2000
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Thu Sep-04-08 02:55 PM
Response to Reply #7 |
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I was confusing it with election projection dot com. He is a Republican.
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Brundle_Fly
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Thu Sep-04-08 02:26 PM
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wryter2000
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Thu Sep-04-08 02:54 PM
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10. Here are some polls from www.electionprojection.com |
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However, it doesn't say when the September 4 data were collected. They could have been pre-speech
Sept 2
CBS News National President: Obama 48%, McCain 40%
Gallup National President: Obama 49%, McCain 43%
Rasmussen National President: Obama 49%, McCain 46%
USA Today/Gallup National President: Obama 50%, McCain 43%
Sept 4
CNN Iowa President: Obama 55%, McCain 40% Minnesota President: Obama 53%, McCain 41% Ohio President: Obama 47%, McCain 45%
Gallup National President: Obama 49%, McCain 43%
GQR (D) North Carolina President: McCain 47%, Obama 44%
Rasmussen National President: Obama 50%, McCain 45%
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KitchenWitch
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Thu Sep-04-08 03:51 PM
Response to Reply #10 |
16. Hey GOP - how's that whole "Let's have the RNC in MN" thing workin' for ya? |
wryter2000
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Thu Sep-04-08 06:21 PM
Response to Reply #16 |
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Wow. Bush carried that state in 2004. The food folks of Iowa can't be fooled forever.
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B Calm
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Thu Sep-04-08 03:06 PM
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12. I guess a 70 yr old, wrinkled, insane, war mongering cancer survivor |
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with a Caribou Barbie who happens to be under investigation for abuse of power, is not what people want!
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Wednesdays
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Thu Sep-04-08 03:39 PM
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13. When I read "GOP convention bump" I thought you meant this: |
alfredo
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Thu Sep-04-08 03:51 PM
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17. North Dakota is going Obama. |
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