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Today's Jobs Report: We're Poorly Prepared For the Storm Ahead

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marmar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-04-08 10:00 PM
Original message
Today's Jobs Report: We're Poorly Prepared For the Storm Ahead
from OurFuture.org:



Today's Jobs Report: We're Poorly Prepared For the Storm Ahead
By Charles McMillion

October 3rd, 2008 - 11:36am ET



Today’s Bureau of Labor Statistics jobs report shows jobs losses worsened sharply in September. Hours worked fell even more sharply than jobs suggest losses in October could be quite severe. Because the number of paid hours worked per week was reduced sharply in September, weekly wages also fell even before adjusting for inflation.

This is an ominous sign for households that already face unprecedented financial pressures with little or no current savings.

The report shows net job losses of 159,000 in September including a gain of 9,000 government jobs; the private sector lost 168,000 jobs in September. This is the ninth consecutive monthly loss of total jobs and the 10th consecutive loss of private sector jobs. The economy has lost 760,000 jobs since December; excluding gains in government jobs. The private sector has lost 983,000 jobs (almost 100,000 a month) since last November.

It’s important to appreciate that even the sharp loss of jobs in September represents only a 0.1 percent loss of overall jobs. But because of reduced hours worked per week, the total number of private sector hours worked in September plunged by 0.5 percent. This converted a small gain in wages per hour (before inflation) to a small decline in weekly wages and a big decline in total wages. When BLS reports on prices and real wages in two weeks (Oct. 16) we will likely find that even modest inflation pushed weekly wages down about 0.3 percent in September to purchasing power levels that are down 0.6 percent year over year.

The equally important implication of the sharp reduction in hours worked is that it is the typical pattern employers use before cutting more jobs. For example, machinery manufacturers cut 4,000 jobs, 0.3 percent, in September but they reduced total hours by 2.5 percent. Financial activities cut 17,000 jobs, 0.2 percent, but cut total hours by 0.5 percent. Construction cut 35,000 jobs, 0.5 percent, but total paid hours worked were cut by 1.3 percent. Even education and health services—a category that added 25,000 jobs, up 0.1 percent—cut the number of total paid hours worked by 0.2 percent. Even before considering job losses due to hurricanes, October is shaping up to be a very bad month for jobs and wages. .......(more)

The complete piece is at: http://www.ourfuture.org/blog-entry/2008104003/todays-jobs-report-poorly-prepared-storm-ahead




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Warpy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-04-08 10:15 PM
Response to Original message
1. Oh, but all those people will be hired by Xmas!
It's time for the stores to be crowded with people with their hands full of money trying to buy gifts!

What? They spent all their money on the inflated food and gas? Their credit cards are charged up? What on earth are you talking about? Xmas always saves us all!

Good thing I know how to knit...
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dixiegrrrrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-05-08 02:07 AM
Response to Reply #1
5. Can you knit me a meat loaf? oh, and some potatoes.
Pantry is getting bare around here.
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Warpy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-05-08 11:28 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. No, but if you head out to a pasture area
and spend a day picking wool off the sagebrush and bring it to me, I'll spin the yarn and knit a hat real fast and we'll both eat.
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Liberal_in_LA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-04-08 10:16 PM
Response to Original message
2. Scary stuff.
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JfortheDonks Donating Member (112 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-04-08 10:17 PM
Response to Original message
3. Could It Be
A strategy to lure more into the military?
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magellan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-05-08 12:25 PM
Response to Reply #3
7. Definitely. Just look at the $$ they dangle in front of people
Active duty Army enlistment bonuses up to $40k, reserves up to $20k. As always, qualifying for them is dependent on civilian skill set, education level, and willingness to sign up for high demand jobs. IOW your mileage may vary -- a lot.

New and cunning is the "quick ship" bonus: $20k to head off to basic training early. Woohoo.

A desperate Pentagon with cash to throw around and desperate out of work people in need of that cash = a match made in heaven.

They've also re-started a program that hadn't been necessary for years, where judges can give a convicted person the choice between jail time or active service. I'd be hard-pressed to say which offers the better survival chances nowadays.

Good question, welcome to DU. :hi:
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dixiegrrrrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-05-08 12:59 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Plus the recruiters get a bounty per head.
I did not know the jail/military choice was back on the table.

Couple centuries ago that was called impressment., or press-ganging,

One step up from a Mickey Finn.

Great quality control method.....
:sarcasm:
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magellan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-05-08 01:16 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. And they lie like dogs to get those bounties
My recruiter lied to me when I joined the Navy back in the early 80s...and let's just say it shaped my opinion of the military and how honorable it is.

I just fact-checked myself on the jail/military thing and technically I'm wrong. While judges can hand down such options, the military isn't required to accept them. However, the branches have been handing out waivers like mad to people who want to enlist but have criminal records, something they don't ordinarily do routinely. So no essential difference.
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dixiegrrrrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-05-08 01:24 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. News articles reporting recruiter suicides rising
Apparently the pressure is intense.
Google should have lots of the stories.
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magellan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-05-08 01:35 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. Bless their teensy little hearts
Lying 17 year old know-nothings into war (which some of them have experienced firsthand) doesn't faze them, but the stress from penalties for missing their quotas does.

:nopity:
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JfortheDonks Donating Member (112 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 06:58 PM
Response to Reply #7
12. Yeah, Exactly
Only good luck seeing the college incentives in you're put on the front lines. In fact, maybe those are the people they put on the front lines first?! Who knows?! Thanks for the welcome!!!
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bertman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-04-08 10:48 PM
Response to Original message
4. Charles McMILLION?? Really?
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