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G. Soros: "the housing bubble was merely the trigger"

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katty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-14-08 11:59 AM
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G. Soros: "the housing bubble was merely the trigger"
EXCERPT/more:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/nathan-gardels/soros-end-of-financial-cr_b_134008.html

The paradigm I'm proposing differs from the conventional wisdom in two respects. First, financial markets don't reflect the actual economic fundamentals. Expectations by traders and investors are always distorting them. Second, these distortions in the financial markets can affect the fundamentals -- as we see in both bubbles and crashes. Euphoria can lift housing and dot.com prices; panic can send sound banks tumbling.

That two-way connection -- that you affect what you reflect -- is what I call "reflexivity." That is how financial markets really work. Their instability is now spreading to the real economy, not the other way around. In short, the boom-bust sequences, the bubbles, are endemic to the financial system.

The current situation is not just about the housing bubble. The housing bubble was merely the trigger that detonated a much larger bubble. That super-bubble, created by the ever-increasing use of credit and debt leverage, combined with the conviction that markets are self-correcting, took more than 25 years to grow. Now it is exploding.

Gardels: What ought to be the "circuit breaker" that short-circuits the distortions that inevitably destabilize financial markets?

Soros: If bubbles are endemic in the system, then government regulators have to intervene to prevent bubbles from getting too big. Governments have to recognize that markets are not self-correcting. It is not enough to pick up the pieces after the crisis.

Gardels: Does the presence of the 24-hour global financial news cycle amplify and exaggerate
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