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Edited on Sun Oct-26-08 10:05 PM by tjwash
First I should say, that I am not against the bailout...I am against WHO THEY ARE GIVING THE BAIL OUT MONEY TO! Our very incompetent government's response thus far has been to lower interest rates and hand more money to the same mother-fuckers who broke the bank.
The whole reason for this crash was the neutering of Glass-Steagall. The reason the Government enacted Glass-Steagall, was to regulate the amount of speculation banks are involved with. The result was that if you just kept your money in the bank you would earn low returns but those returns were relatively safe. All of this nonsense happened because government failed to regulate heat of the moment risk taking by bankers whose eyes were bigger than their stomachs.
Now, in a nutshell- it depends on what happens to regular folks when this goes on:
If you don't have any loans, CC's, mortgages, etc...it will just be extremely hard to get loan in the future, or the interest rate will be very large. That means car loans, mortgages, student loans credit cards, lines of credit...etc. So if you want to buy a car, or a house you will actually have to have a good credit score, and come up with a 20 percent or more down payment and prove that you are capable of making the payments in advance. Plus it will be more difficult to come up with loans to start your own small business if that's what you were planning. Access to Credit...which is one of the engines that drives capitalism, will be very difficult and slow the economy to a crawl.
There was a stretch in the 60's where the stock market absolutely did not budge for a whole decade...we may be poised to go through that again.
If you owe money on a mortgage, or loans, or CC's that are backed by a bank that goes under, the loans will get sold off to larger banks that have not. An example is Wachovia and WAMU getting bought out by Chase and other monster sized banks that have a lot of capital, like BOFA which is poised to gobble up a lot of mortgage brokers. They may then sneak in special provisions on your loan. You know those little envelopes that get mailed to your house that banks send you when something is about to change? A hell of a lot of people ignore those, but those are additional bits of "small print" that are getting added to your loan. They may sneak an interest rate hike on you, or change the terms of your loan completely. Credit cards can be pretty harry on this. They may tell inform you that your loan has been sold, and that if you are late on a payment your rate gets jacked up to 27 percent.
That means a hell of a lot of homes foreclosed on, new groups of homeless and displaced people, and wages being garnished (for those still fortunate enough to be employed).
Like I said...government's response thus far has been to lower interest rates and hand more money to the same assholes who fucked everything up in the first place. At the same time there is no money for education, technology, or industry. Obama has mentioned this and immediately been branded a socialist, and a commie. Meanwhile a whole lot of people with debts (pretty much the entire middle class) are going down hard right now.
A possible silver lining...is it also means no more rampant consumerism, no more "I want I want I want-here's my plastic" that has been driving the economy for the last 25 years as well.
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