The True MATH: Confirming Election Fraud 2000-2008 (TIA) - x

[tiptoe]

The True MATH: Confirming Election Fraud 2000-2008 — TruthIsAll

...

2004 Final Pre-election Polls

The Kerry/Bush vote split of the difference (1335) in sample between the RV and LV subset (57.8–42.2%)
matched the 12:22am Preliminary National Exit Poll  'New Voter'  shares: 57–41–2%.

The 1769 difference — i.e. 5-poll RV samples (10310) exclusive their LV subsets (8541) — comprised 17.2% of the total (RV) sample.
In 2004, there were approximately 21.4 million newly registered and other new voters (i.e., 'DNV' 2000) — 17% of 125.7m votes cast.
Of the 21.4 million, approximately 13.8m (11% of 125.74) were first-time voters. Kerry won 55% of first-timers.
The average pre-election poll projected turnout of registered voters was 82.8% (117m of 142m registered).
The census reported an 88.5% voter turnout (125.7m of 142.1m registered).

 

 

 

Actual Poll (%)

 

0.75

0.25

Undecided Voters Allocated

   RV
1-Nov
31-Oct
31-Oct
31-Oct
30-Oct




   LV
1-Nov
31-Oct
31-Oct
31-Oct
30-Oct

Poll
CBS
Fox
Gallup
ABC
Pew

Total
Average

Poll
CBS
Fox
Gallup
ABC
Pew

Total
Average

Sample
1125
1400
1866
3511
2408

10310
2062

Sample
939
1200
1573
2904
1925

8541
1708

Kerry
46
48
48
48
46


47.2

Kerry
47
48
49
48
48


48

Bush
47
45
46
47
45


46

Bush
49
46
49
49
51


48.8

Spread
-1
3
2
1
1


1.2

Spread
-2
2
0
-1
-3


-0.8

 

Kerry
50.50
52.50
51.75
51.00
52.00


51.55

Kerry
49.25
51.75
49.75
49.50
48.00


49.65

Bush
48.50
46.50
47.25
48.00
47.00


47.45

Bush
49.75
47.25
49.25
49.50
51.00


49.35

Spread
2.0
6.0
4.5
3.0
5.0


4.1

Spread
-0.5
4.5
0.5
0.0
-3.0


0.3

Projected
Turnout
83.5%
85.7%
84.3%
82.7%
79.9%


82.8%

 

Pre-election Polls Final RV and LV Samples

 

Registered Voters (RV)

 

Likely Voters (LV subset)

 
CBS
Fox
Gallup
ABC
Pew

Total
 

Total
1047
1302
1754
3335
2192

9629
93.4%

Kerry
518
672
896
1685
1108

4878
47.3%

Bush
529
630
858
1650
1084

4751
46.1%

 

Total
901
1128
1542
2817
1906

8294
97.1%

Kerry
441
576
771
1394
924

4106
48.1%

Bush
460
552
771
1423
982

4188
49.0%

 

 

RV – LV [Less-Likely Voters]

 

"RV minus LV" Voters

CBS
Fox
Gallup
ABC
Pew

Total

Total
145
174
213
519
286

1335

Kerry
76
96
125
291
184

772

Bush
69
78
88
227
102

563

 

Kerry
52.6%
55.2%
58.8%
56.2%
64.3%

57.8%

Bush
47.4%
44.8%
41.2%
43.8%
35.7%

42.2%

Spread
 5.2%
10.3%
17.6%
12.4%
28.7%

15.6%

 

• If Final NEP weightings indicate a mathematically impossible number of
   returning voters, then simple logic dictates the weightings are impossible.
• Since impossible weightings were necessary to match to the official vote count,
   then the official vote count must also be impossible.
• Since the vote count is impossible, then all demographic category cross tabs
   must use incorrect weights and/or vote shares to match the count.

Polled Pre Vote: 10,310. 'RV-LV' sample: CBS + Gallup + ABC + FOX + Pew

 

Post-Election 12:22a Prelim NEP

‘DNV’ Voters

57%

41%

 

Polled Exit Vote: 13,046. Shares = 3.4m Dem margin  (17% DNV == 21.4m)

Post-Election   1:25p  Final NEP

‘DNV’ Voters

54%

45%

 

'Forced' to match the vote-count = Dem margin dis-count, 1.5m votes  1 2 

 

NATIONAL EXIT POLL
...

Full article: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x512608

 

[tiptoe]

1. "If Final NEP weightings indicate a mathematically impossible number of returning voters, ...

If Final NEP weightings indicate a mathematically impossible number of returning voters, then
simple logic dictates the weightings are impossible.

Since impossible weightings were necessary to match to the official vote count, then
the official vote count must also be impossible.

Since the vote count is impossible, then
all demographic category cross tabs must use incorrect weights and/or vote shares to match the count.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x512608

[tiptoe]

2. Late Votes: The Democratic late vote exceeded the Election Day share by 7% in each of the last ...

three elections.

Late Votes

2008
Election Day
Late
Total

2004
Election Day
Late
Total

2000
Election Day
Late
Total

Total
121.21
10.16
131.37

Total
116.7
5.6
122.3

Total
102.6
2.8
105.4

Obama
63.4
6.01
69.46

Kerry
56.4
2.6
59.0

Gore
49.5
1.5
51.00

McCain
56.1
3.81
59.94

Bush
59.8
2.2
62.0

Bush
49.3
1.2
50.46

Other
1.64
0.34
1.98

Other
0.40
0.80
1.20

Other
3.8
0.1
3.95

Obama

52.3%
59.2%

52.87%

Kerry

48.3%
46.9%

48.27%

Gore

48.2%
53.6%

48.38%

McCain
46.3%
37.5%
45.62%

Bush
51.3%
39.4%
50.73%

Bush
48.1%
42.9%
47.87%

Other
1.4%
3.3%
1.51%

Other
0.4%
13.7%
1.00%

Other
3.7%
3.5%
3.75%

 

Dem Margin
+  6.0
+21.7
 

 
–  3.0
+  7.5
 

 
+  0.1
+10.7
 

 

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x512608

 

[tiptoe]

3. Pre-Election CBS +Gallup +ABC +FOX +Pew Affirm Post-Election PRELIM Exit Poll (not 'forced' Final)

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x512608

 

[tritsofme]

4. Looks like there isn't anyone buying

the crap that TIA is selling these days...

[defendandprotect]

5. Every election since mid and late-1960's is in question . . .

that's when the computers came in --

And, yes, I'm sure that Obama probably had a much bigger win.

Remember, the large computers used by MSM came in first . . .

questionable crashes and then "new" results.

Evidently, many anchors, journalists came to understand what

was going on and how the computers were being used -- many left.

So even back that far, we have a corporate-media complicit in

aiding election steals.

I'd say the Nixon/Humphrey election rates suspicion.