Actually, the "experiment" has been running in Massachusetts for fully 1/2 decade now and over three years ago I wrote a story here at Talk To Action summing up the apparent impact {
http://www.talk2action.org/story/2006/7/13/14120/4811 } of the then-2 year "experiment". Now, we have 5 years of data. According to the most recent data from the National Center For Vital Statistics, Massachusetts {
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/mardiv.htm }, still retains the national title as the lowest divorce rate state.
Back in summer 2006, after more than a year of poring over accumulating data I reported what was, to my mind, a foregone conclusion; after two years of legal gay marriage, the Bay State still boasted the lowest divorce rate of any state in the nation. That was notable in light of the absurdly histrionic claims made by leaders on the Christian right that legal gay marriage in Massachusetts would be an "apocalypse" that would lead to the destruction of Western Civilization or even the world. Below is a list of some of the more outrageous of such claims.
Now Steve Chapman has taken the next step. As he writes in his Chicago Tribune column,
I contacted three serious conservative thinkers who have written extensively about the dangers of allowing gay marriage and asked them to make simple, concrete predictions about measurable social indicators -- marriage rates, divorce, out-of-wedlock births, child poverty, you name it.
You would think they would react like Albert Pujols when presented with a hanging curveball. Yet none was prepared to forecast what would happen in same-sex marriage states versus other states.
One of the "conservative thinkers" who Chapman tried to solicit a prediction from, Maggie Gallagher, was active in the push to pass California's anti-gay marriage Proposition 8 in California. So, it's especially notable that she was unwilling to supply Mr. Chapman with any specifics on what social ills gay marriage is supposed to cause.
In short, it appears the word is getting out that gay marriage has little impact other then 1) allowing gay couples to marry and 2) providing marriage fees for clerics who conduct such marriage ceremonies. The real question is this - how long will it take for the truth to diffuse, out into wider society ? Or will it ever ?
Sometimes I think the national gov should just switch all marriages to civil unions and leave the religious stuff to a to those who want it provided separately by their clergy of choice.