cali
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Sun Jan-17-10 07:27 PM
Original message |
Intrade: Coakley 46, Brown 56. |
tekisui
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Sun Jan-17-10 07:28 PM
Response to Original message |
1. Some peeps are going to lose money betting on Brown. |
cali
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Sun Jan-17-10 07:32 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
4. I'm really hoping to see that happen. |
FrenchieCat
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Sun Jan-17-10 07:28 PM
Response to Original message |
2. CNN is happy too! They are asking us to bend over and take it...... |
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just like we like it.
Thanks for the news!
Now I feel much better.
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Hello_Kitty
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Sun Jan-17-10 07:30 PM
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3. Meh. Intrade had Obama beating Hillary the day before the NH primary. |
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They're not always right.
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dkf
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Sun Jan-17-10 07:33 PM
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5. Buy at 45.5 and sell at 41.1? That is a huge spread. |
virgogal
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Sun Jan-17-10 07:34 PM
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Aramchek
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Sun Jan-17-10 07:34 PM
Response to Original message |
7. Intrade is only as smart as the gamblers who place bets |
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Lots of Repigs with more Dollars than Sense playing this one.
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MineralMan
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Sun Jan-17-10 08:10 PM
Response to Reply #7 |
16. Intrade is also very susceptible to Freeper input. |
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It's a worthless measure. Tuesday's election is the only thing that matters. We're wasting our time with these prognostications. Instead, the GOTV effort is what will make the difference.
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Aramchek
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Sun Jan-17-10 08:53 PM
Response to Reply #16 |
graywarrior
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Sun Jan-17-10 07:34 PM
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Dinger
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Sun Jan-17-10 07:35 PM
Response to Reply #8 |
9. In Keeping With My Positive Theme |
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Edited on Sun Jan-17-10 07:36 PM by Dinger
I'll say that I respectfully believe it is incorrect. You are correct GrayWarrior.
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graywarrior
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Sun Jan-17-10 07:38 PM
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10. They are underestimating the dems ground force in MA |
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We are pissed and we're voting.
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secondwind
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Sun Jan-17-10 07:41 PM
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11. vote twice! I can't believe we could lose the most liberal Senate seat in the country |
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to a PINUP boy! I refuse to believe this!
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graywarrior
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Sun Jan-17-10 07:54 PM
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14. I'm starting to think his campaign has clay feet |
peace frog
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Sun Jan-17-10 07:48 PM
Response to Original message |
12. So a bunch of 'pukes are betting the rent against Coakley? |
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SUCKERS!!!11!! I love it when wingnuts get their clocks cleaned. :rofl:
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LostInAnomie
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Sun Jan-17-10 07:50 PM
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13. Any poll that has a double digit gap for either candidate is full of shit. |
Bitwit1234
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Sun Jan-17-10 08:10 PM
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15. Are they copying from Fox that adds up to 102 |
leftygolfer
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Sun Jan-17-10 08:27 PM
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17. Can we open accounts or is this considered gambling? |
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i would take that bet (or buy shares) or whatever.
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timeforpeace
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Sun Jan-17-10 08:28 PM
Response to Original message |
18. She was way ahead just 4 days ago. |
catnhatnh
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Sun Jan-17-10 08:35 PM
Response to Original message |
19. So I went to the intrade gateway page... |
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and found the chart. which STARTS at Coakley 90% and Brown 10%...Meaning that when betting began Coakley was as close to a sure thing you'll ever find on a book. Now after all the publicity Coakley has dropped below 50 percent and Brown has climbed above 50%. But the result is NOT a poll-it is a book.
And a book HAS to balance the odds to cover either outcome. That's why if they start with the Baltimore Ravens at even money on Monday then as the week goes on the Ravens slowly become 7, 10, 17, 21 point favorites-because the book DON'T CARE WHO WINS OR LOSES-it just has to balance what it can afford to lose.
The fact is I'd like to see Brown a lot higher at Intrade but the current odds tell me only that with the normal last flood of betting (informed by the bullshit media of the last week) suckers are trying for a cheap win based on spin.
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galileoreloaded
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Sun Jan-17-10 08:36 PM
Response to Original message |
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Edited on Sun Jan-17-10 08:36 PM by galileoreloaded
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MineralMan
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Sun Jan-17-10 08:40 PM
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Absolute evidence that Freepers are bidding Brown up. Intrade is useless as a predictor of political races. Anyone can manipulate it at will.
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harkadog
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Sun Jan-17-10 08:56 PM
Response to Reply #21 |
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http://electoralmap.net/index2008.php Looks like they were only one vote off in 2008. What poll had a better record?
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MineralMan
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Sun Jan-17-10 08:58 PM
Response to Reply #24 |
25. Ask me again on Wednesday morning. |
cliffordu
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Sun Jan-17-10 08:43 PM
Response to Original message |
22. I wouldn't trust degenerate gamblers with the |
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Edited on Sun Jan-17-10 08:43 PM by cliffordu
prediction.
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DU
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Fri May 03rd 2024, 04:10 AM
Response to Original message |