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Matt Dowd: GOP will win 30+ mid-term seats because people are angry and Dems own the levers of power

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Amerigo Vespucci Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 12:49 PM
Original message
Matt Dowd: GOP will win 30+ mid-term seats because people are angry and Dems own the levers of power


George Will Touts Paul Ryan's Social Security Privatization Scheme as Election Strategy for GOP
By Heather Monday Apr 05, 2010 10:00am

http://videocafe.crooksandliars.com/heather/george-will-touts-paul-ryans-social-securi

REICH: Well, you know, there's obviously a kind of an off- message problem here for the Republicans. And, Matt, when you talk about hypocrisy, yes, but hypocrisy is not exactly something new in this town. I think there's -- there's a larger issue...

DOWD: Which is why this town's ratings are so bad.

REICH: But there's -- I wanted to get to that, because I think that voters -- and it's not just Tea Parties -- voters all over this country right now are saying, as they've said before -- but I think with a greater sense of commitment and intent right now -- they're saying, the establishment politicians just don't get it. They don't know where we are. They don't understand what we're suffering with regard to unemployment or the economy. They don't understand fiscal responsibility. They don't -- they don't get any of the -- anything that we are talking about in our families and among our friends.

And this is bad. It's bad for Democrats. It's also bad for Republicans.

DOWD: Well, I agree. I think the -- I mean, the big...

REICH: Incumbents. It's bad for incumbents.

DOWD: The big problem today is a total lack of public trust the public has of trust in Washington, whether it's Democrat or Republican. This is not a partisan problem, is when you have corrupt scandals with Charlie Rangel and all of that, just who have come up -- Republican scandals and new Republican scandals, is which is why the Congress as a whole is rated at the lowest point it's ever been rated. President Obama's numbers are dropping. There is a lack of total trust in the institution of politics in Washington.

REICH: And Washington is just totally out of -- out of -- out of keeping with America.

FINNEY: Of course it is. But there is a deeper problem that the RNC has. Let's be honest. Any time when you have the first African- American president and the first African-American chairman of the party of a party with a very dwindling base, you may be able to win race by race with the Tea Parties, but you cannot win a national election if you can't bring in a broader coalition of voters.

Privately, people have admitted that -- and, you know, this is not the first time Michael Steele has been an embarrassment or has misappropriated funds or not done what he's supposed to be doing. Privately, people have admitted that part of the reason, in addition to the technical aspects of two-thirds vote to vote him out, he's an African-American, and you have to be very careful about, what signal does that send, if you were to remove an African-American, again, at a time when the base of your party is dwindling?

That is a longer-term problem than simply going to a strip club or spending money on jets.

DOWD: I'm not going to argue against the liabilities that the Republicans have and their lack of a real strategy and their lack of a real program. The interesting thing...

FINNEY: Or message.

DOWD: The interesting thing to me, granted all those things? They're going to pick up 25-plus seats in the House this year. They're going to probably pick up five or six or seven seats in the U.S. Senate. They're going to pick up governors races.

As of right now, Barack Obama could not get re-elected, if the election was held today, based on his approval ratings and based on history. And so Republicans have all those problems? Democrats have a bigger set of problems, because they own the levers -- they own the levers of power in a town in a time when people are fed up with it.
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spanone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 12:50 PM
Response to Original message
1. bwahahaaa... what horseshit
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barbiegeek Donating Member (844 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 03:02 PM
Response to Reply #1
20. PLEASE Run on ending Social Security
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Arkana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 12:50 PM
Response to Original message
2. Who the hell is Matt Dowd and why should I care what he thinks?
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Amerigo Vespucci Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 12:51 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Political consultant, chief Bush-Cheney 2004 strategist. n/t
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Arkana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 12:53 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. Oh.
Then I'm just SHOCKED that a Republican who worked on Dumbass' campaign would predict an overly rosy 2010 for Republicans. Shocked, I tells ya.
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devilgrrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 12:51 PM
Response to Original message
3. He's a joke
:puke:
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FBaggins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 12:54 PM
Response to Reply #3
8. Yes... but he's also right.
Unless something changes (and fast), that's about the number of House seats that we stand to lose...

...and it certainly isn't because the Republican brand is suddenly popular again. It's far more reasonable to say that things still suck for far too many people and Democrats are in power.

"Bad for incumbents" is wishful thinking (though reasonable spin that I've tried myself).
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devilgrrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 12:55 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. If you insist?
:popcorn:
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FBaggins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 01:05 PM
Response to Reply #9
12. Insist? No... that's just the current projections.
You can probably find an analyst saying it's -20 now, but -30 is hardly unexpected right now.

Which isn't to say that things can't change. Just look at where the predictions were a year ago.
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emulatorloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 01:58 PM
Response to Reply #12
16. A lot of the "current projections" are WISH FULFILLMENT. Commentators and operatives trying to
shape reality by repeating something over and over and over until it becomes truth.
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FBaggins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 02:06 PM
Response to Reply #16
18. Even the Democrats?
That would be quite an feat. I would assume that their "wishes" would be biased in the other direction, wouldn't you?
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gratuitous Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 12:52 PM
Response to Original message
5. You wanna bet, Matt?
Democrats will maintain their majorities in both the House and the Senate in 2010, possibly even expand them, but in no case will Republicans become the majority party in either chamber of Congress. I'll bet a $10 donation to DU. Whaddya say, Matt (whoever you are)?
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Nicholas D Wolfwood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 12:53 PM
Response to Original message
7. Didn't Bush get re-elected with far WORSE approval ratings?
This guy is a dipshit.
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FBaggins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 01:06 PM
Response to Reply #7
13. No... but not much better.
OTOH, even accepting that he "won" at all... he didn't win by much.
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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 07:04 PM
Response to Reply #7
27. Bush got re-elected because Rove established him *as* Amurka
"With us or against us" was not policy- it can't be- it was a political play that was toted along by the MSM as expected

Vote against Bush or anything he likes = you vote against your country

and it worked*

*aside from the 250,000,000 to 1 odds that all of the polling was that wrong
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hughee99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 01:01 PM
Response to Original message
10. I think that's overly optimistic for repukes, but expect us to lose some seats...
The party in the WH will lose some seats barring some extraordinary circumstance (a la 9/11). Times are still tough for many people, they'll blame the party that controls the white house.

Yes, I know it doesn't make any sense to vote against the people trying to fix the problem, but if people found out what the hell was going on before they voted, we wouldn't have had 8 years of * in the first place. I've seen no evidence that most people have become significantly more informed than they used to me.
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Davis_X_Machina Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 01:04 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. I'll take the over at 26 n/t
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hughee99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 01:06 PM
Response to Reply #11
14. Your faith in the voters is greater than mine.
I hope you're right.
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opihimoimoi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 01:21 PM
Response to Original message
15. The GOPiacs will continue their Death Spiral ...The DEMs will expand their majority in both chambers
Peeps are tired of Bull Shit that the GOP OWNS....TIRED I SAY....

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AlinPA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 03:11 PM
Response to Reply #15
23. Now that is what I call confidence. Much more than mine. Maybe we should have beer and
you can tell me how we will expand our lead in the House and Senate.
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opihimoimoi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 06:59 PM
Response to Reply #23
25. Lemme buy the first round...:beer: All Dems gatta do is continue as they are
The GOPiacs are self destructing and Dems oughta keep outta the way....

Their current Heros are: BECK, HANNITY, OREALLY, PALIN, BACHMANN, ZIT BUTT, NEWT, HUCKY, MITT, and McCane.....

All ZEROs

They will decline in numbers as NOV approaches....

trust me.....(wink)
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Bitwit1234 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 01:58 PM
Response to Original message
17. You know they are soooooooooooo worried
why are the constantly touted the fact that the Democrats are going to loose. Just because in some cases in the mid terms the party in power looses seats, don't mean it is gonna happen this time. What with the mess the republicans made, what with the mess they are continuing to create the people of this country are fed completely up with this horseshit they are trumpeting. I have one statement....give it up republicans you are toast.
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bridgit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 02:21 PM
Response to Original message
19. Dowd was/remains a republican strategist ala Bush-Cheney '04 presidential campaign and then some...
Edited on Mon Apr-05-10 02:27 PM by bridgit
My sense is that he'd love for it to all be so easy as it was when they 'talked down' everything Dem going in and ran rough for 8 years & counting on a paper bag full oflies - republican strategists are implanting the electorate with pre-formed conclusions, its what they do over & over again - 30+ seats? Bah! Why not 60 or 160? That's because it has to somehow make sense, setting that bar just right. They know that some of Obama's achievements will be seen as aggregate positives and they will continue to have no angle on them other than to start talking & implanting over, under, and around by way of suggestion
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Odin2005 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 03:04 PM
Response to Original message
21. BS like this is how the MSM manufactures reality.
I'm so sick of this crap.
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47of74 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 03:11 PM
Response to Original message
22. Whatever, Mr. Dowd
Now crawl back in your little GOP hidey hole.
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SocialistLez Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 03:14 PM
Response to Original message
24. I can overlook scandals
As long as sh** gets done.

Pass universal health care, raise the minimum wage, make it easier for workers to unionize, and end some of our disastrous trade policies and the Dems can have all the scandals they want for all I care.


When Clinton lied, no one died.
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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 07:01 PM
Response to Original message
26. Isn't posting pictures of penises not allowed on DU?
:shrug:
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LetsgoWings13 Donating Member (144 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-05-10 07:43 PM
Response to Original message
28. and pigs can fly
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