http://www.huffingtonpost.com/elections/There are some good stats at the above link on all the races in the Senate and the House.
DEMOCRATS have:
Total Seats .... 48
10 are up re-election
7 of those are running 'strong'
3 are leaning Dem.
REPUBLICANS have:
Total Seats .... 46
23 are up for re-election
12 of those are running 'strong'
11 are leaning Repub.
4 races are a toss-up right now
Those
4 toss- up races are:1. ALASKA
2. Colorado
3. Illinois
4. W. Virginia
In Alaska, it's a 3 way race with the Dem running behind both Repubs.
In Colorado it's so close right now with Buck (R) leading Bennet (D) by only 1% point.
In W.V. Manchin (D) leads Raese (R) by 1.6% points and
In Illinois, Kirk (R) leads Giannoulias (D) by 1.4% points
It looks like Alaska will get a Repub. but hopefully it won't be Teabagger/Arrest-Reporters Miller who seems to be in trouble right now.
So Dems could get three of those toss up seats which would give them 51 and the majority although they really are too close to call right now.
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These are the
3 'Leaning Dem' races where they could pick up three more if things hold.
In California, Boxer has a 4% point lead now over Fiorina
In Connecticut, Blumenthal has a 10% point lead over McMahon. That looks like a Dem win.
And in Washington, Murray has a 3% point lead over Rossi.
If Dems won all three of those races, they would have 54 in the Senate IF they also won 3 of the toss-ups.
And the
11 'Leaning Republican' races. Some of them could turn around for Democrats. I hope Sestak, Feingold and Conway can pull it off.
In the Nevada race, it's hard to believe that Angle is beating Reid by 3% points.
In Wisconsin, Russ Feingold is 7% points behind Johnson.
Florida is listed as 'leaning Republican' but tragically it looks like Rubio will win. He's way ahead of Meeks. But Crist is taking many of the Dem and Ind. votes that probably would have gone to Meek. Hard to say as I'm sure he's getting some moderate Republican votes also.
In Kentucky, Rand Paul is still ahead by 6% points.
In Louisiana, incredibly, Vitter is ahead of Melancon by 12% points. Looks like Vitter will win that one!
But in Pennsylvania, Sestak is closing in on Toomey who is down to a 3% point lead. I think he can do it!!
In New Hampshire Hodes (D) is behind Ayotte by 10% points.
The other four 'leaning Republican' races are Indiana, Missouri, North Carolina and Arkansas and all four will probably go the Repubs.
At least it's looking a bit better than a few weeks ago. I'm going to be really optimistic. If they get three of the toss-up races, the three 'leaning Dem' races and turn around 3 of the 'leaning Republican' races, they could end up with 57 seats.
But, that is being very optimistic. I think they could end up with at least 54.