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Better Believe It Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-23-10 01:28 PM
Original message
The New York Times Wakes Up to Palin



The New York Times Wakes Up to Palin
By Matthew Rothschild
Editor of The Progressive
November 22, 2010

Sunday was the day the New York Times woke up to the reality that Sarah Palin could become President.

Frank Rich devoted his entire column to that possibility, and the Sunday Times Magazine gave its cover over to Palin and her coterie.

I can’t tell if this is panic on the part of the Times, or an effort to warn people about what might be coming, or a signal to the Republican establishment to get out their long knives and go after her.

But the prospect of Palin in 2012 is not one to be sneered at—much less hoped for, and I know a lot of Democrats are doing both.

And if she wins the nomination, and the economy remains in the tank, there is—yes, there is—a betting chance she could be the next President of the United States.

Don’t laugh.

Read the full article at:

http://www.progressive.org/wx112210.html

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cbdo2007 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-23-10 01:31 PM
Response to Original message
1. I honestly don't know anyone who would take that bet - that SP would be Pres.
Do you? Seriously? How much you wanna bet??

Sure, people throw it around as a possibility, etc but her chances of realistically becoming president are about 1 in 1,000.
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Better Believe It Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-23-10 01:37 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Are you sneering?
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EOTE Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-23-10 02:11 PM
Response to Reply #1
12. I'm nearly certain she'll be the republican nomination for president.
And if the primaries manage not to be incredibly nasty and the economy is still in poor condition in 2012, I think she stands a decent shot. Give me 3:1 odds and I'd take that bet.
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Segami Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-23-10 02:28 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. Those who are ' so certain ' that Palin could never win the presidency should have no problem
giving you 10:1 odds since the outcome they believe is so certain.



"....Assuming that President Obama will once again receive the Democratic nomination (and this assumption may be rather speculative depending on how the next two years play out), we will focus first on the slate of Republican candidates hoping to oppose him.

The first list here is from the Washington Post – I included only the rankings and the names, because (A) its the Washington Post and (B) no one is relying upon those odds for betting purposes, and (C) the Washington Post isn’t staking its reputation or its bank roll actually allowing people to bet their posted “odds”. I only add them for a bit of perspective. Take them for what they are.



10. Marco Rubio

9. Mike Pence

8. Mike Huckabee

7. Mitch Daniels

6. Newt Gingrich

5. John Thune

4. Haley Barbour

3. Tim Pawlenty

2. Sarah Palin

1. Mitt Romney



Nothing really groundbreaking or earth-shattering here is there?


Yeah, I didn’t think so either. That’s why I thought it would be more useful to see how the pros – who actually have some money on the line – see this thing shaking out.


From Sportsbook.com

The first list of lines is for the list of hopefuls vying for the Republican Nomination. A few names are noticeably absent from the list – Pence, Thune, Barbour, just to name a few. The addition of General Petraeus was particularly interesting though.


John McCain +2000

Jeb Bush +2000

Ron Paul +2000

Rudolph Giuliani +1500

Newt Gingrich + 1500

David Petraeus +1500

Mark Sanford +1200

Charlie Crist +1200

Tim Pawlenty +1000

Bobby Jindal +600

Mike Huckabee +500

Mitt Romney +400

Sarah Palin + 350


If you didn’t laugh hysterically at the Mark Sanford line you either weren’t paying attention or you have absolutely NO sense of humor.

Here’s the list of lines on candidates for the Presidency across party lines…



Donald Trump +10000

Joe Wurzelbacher +10000

Ron Paul +5000

Mark Warner +5000

Newt Ginrich +5000

Mark Sanford +5000

John McCain +5000

David Petraeus +4000

Rudolph Giuliani +3000

John Edwards +3000

Charlie Crist +2500

Bill Frist +2500

Bobby Jindal +2000

Jeb Bush +2000

Evan Bayh +2000

Condoleeza Rice +2000

Tim Pawlenty +2000

Al Gore +2000

Michael Bloomberg +2000

Rob Portman +1500

Hillary Clinton +1500

Mike Huckabee +1500

Joe Biden +1500

Mitt Romney +1200

Sarah Palin +1000

Barack Obama -125



They also have a line for the Party to take the White House – it seems rather close when compared to the longshots among the Republican nominees. Maybe they know something the rest of us don’t about a potential A-list candidate waiting in the wings???? John Thune, Mike Pence Perhaps???


Democrat -160

Republican +120

Other – +3000


That “other” category has to be a bit disparaging for the Bloomberg’s, Bayh’s, and Crist’s of the world. Maybe they should have had some backbone and stayed the course rather than taking the wishy washy road to irrelevancy after all.



<http://republicanredefined.com/2010/11/13/presidential-election-2012-betting-line/>
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leftstreet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-23-10 01:33 PM
Response to Original message
2. Aren't the Republicans just keeping her visible in case Hillary runs?
They don't have a woman with any real notoriety, certainly nothing close to Hillary's name recognition.

:shrug:
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lumberjack_jeff Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-23-10 01:42 PM
Response to Original message
4. I've become pretty defeatist about the US
I see two outcomes, a long slow glide into feudalism, or a sharp cathartic collapse to the lower tier of industrialized society (think Spain or Bulgaria).

The current status quo, weak democrats followed by republican destruction, followed by weak democrats, is a recipe for the former.
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DeepModem Mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-23-10 01:44 PM
Response to Original message
5. My nightmare scenario --
I think, given the Primary schedule, she could win the GOP nomination. Then my fear is that the press embraces her, as they did with George W. Bush (remember we couldn't imagine him as President?), and gives her a pass on everything. It could be 2000 all over again, with the "liberal media" cool kids presenting an Alaskan Mama Grizzly vs. a Democratic "smarty pants" (i.e, person with a working brain, education and intellect). And she wins.

I really don't want to think that this could possibly happen, but I don't know.
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Segami Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-23-10 02:10 PM
Response to Reply #5
11. Its funny how quickly people seem to forget the 2000 election of Bush.
McCain was expected to win the republican nomination but fell quite short. It was a running joke to even ponder the thought of Bush becoming the 43rd President.


On January 20th 2001, Bush was sworn in as this nation's 43rd President.


Folks should stop saying that its IMPOSSIBLE for Palin to be elected. Nothing is impossible within the right political climate especially with extreme RW followers who might resort to just about anything to get her elected.
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Xolodno Donating Member (310 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-23-10 01:46 PM
Response to Original message
6. It was pointed out on CNN last night that....
They did not think it possible for her to win the election by just talking to Fox "News" and ignoring the rest of the news organizations. However, they did state doing just that could easily win her the Republican nomination.
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Segami Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-23-10 01:53 PM
Response to Original message
7. She is the ' anointed one ' to come
:hide: Ooooo.


<>
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Contrary1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-23-10 02:06 PM
Response to Original message
8. I think she will run; her ego demands it.
But, I can't see her getting the GOP nomination. Intelligent Republicans want nothing to do with her. Karl can take care of it, if it begins to look like she could actually win. She will then run as a 3rd party candidate, splitting the Republican vote.

The above scenario depends on what the GOP wants. Four years of who knows what with Sarah? They won't be able to control her if she is actually elected, or four more years of Obama?

I figure they will go with Obama; who has shown his willingness to negotiate, over Sarah; the loose cannon.
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butterfly77 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-23-10 02:09 PM
Response to Original message
9. Why is this suppose..
to be a surprise for them they all (the media) have been campaigning for her since day one she is a lot of the reasons for so much conflict and hatred in this country today...
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Old and In the Way Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-23-10 02:09 PM
Response to Original message
10. More likely, it's the Republican PTB that are doing a preemptive strike onTeam Palin.
No way Palin can win the GE, IMHO. But she can certainly win the Republican nomination. They even have the Bush matriarch doing her best to get Jeb positioned for 2012 by slamming Sarah. With any luck, the rubes who vote Republican will see this as an unwarranted attack on their Snow Princess and will marshall their forces to get Sarah the nomination....or, even better, convince her to run as an independent.
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elfin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-23-10 02:22 PM
Response to Original message
13. She is peaking right now
with even MORE media attention. via Fox, the book and the TLC show.

It seems others have "done the math" and seen that she actually could prance away with the nomination if her loony base holds intact and votes in large enough numbers for her to lead in a splintered pack of contenders.

Then, if Rich's doomsday scenario plays out with Bloomberg and his billions playing the spoiler Independent card in 2012 - she perks right into 1600.

However, I think her TV show's gonna do her in. "Going clubbin' with Bristol' is just the beginning of the comedy mother lode this show provides. So this "peak" may be short lived.

Check out this site for a hilarious recap of episode 2.

http://palingates.blogspot.com/2010/11/sarah-palins-alaska-episode-2-readers.html
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Better Believe It Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-23-10 02:45 PM
Response to Original message
15. And we don't know who will be the Democratic candidate in 2012. It might be Joseph Biden.

I don't exclude that.
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