AR-Sen: Halter Gains Ground on Lincoln, Fares Slightly Better in General

[ccharles000]

Research 2000 for the Daily Kos (3/22-24, likely voters, 11/30-12/2/2009 in parens):

Blanche Lincoln (D-inc): 44 (42)
Bill Halter (D): 31 (26)
Undecided: 25 (32)
(MoE: ±5%)

That's some nice early movement for Halter, and a clear indication of Lincoln's vulnerability in the Democratic primary. Among Democrats, Halter's favorable rating has shot up to 68-10 from 55-11, while Lincoln's have remained relatively static at 62-34 (from 62-34 in December). Halter's greatest argument in the primary, though, may be his stronger starting position in the general election. Among all likely voters, Halter's favorable rating is 46-27 (up from 36-25) compared to Lincoln's 42-52 spread. In fact, in most of the marquee general match-ups, Halter fares better than Lincoln:

Blanche Lincoln (D-inc): 42
John Boozman (R): 49

Bill Halter (D): 40
John Boozman (R): 48

Blanche Lincoln (D-inc): 43 (46)
Kim Hendren (R): 48 (30)

Bill Halter (D): 44 (36)
Kim Hendren (R): 45 (31)

Blanche Lincoln (D-inc): 41 (41)
Gilbert Baker (R): 49 (42)

Bill Halter (D): 44 (34)
Gilbert Baker (R): 46 (42)

Blanche Lincoln (D-inc): 44 (44)
Curtis Coleman (R): 47 (39)

Bill Halter (D): 45 (35)
Curtis Coleman (R): 44 (40)

Blanche Lincoln (D-inc): 43 (45)
Tom Cox (R): 47 (31)

Bill Halter (D): 45 (36)
Tom Cox (R): 43 (32)
(MoE: ±4%)

http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/6651/arsen-halter-gains-ground-on-lincoln-fares-slightly-better-in-general