Sen Boxer Poll looking ominous?

[golfguru]

Fiorina has closed the poll numbers, but Boxer will win in the end.
There is no way CA dumps a 3 term dem senator.

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6662JP20100708?type=politicsNews

[tabatha]

1. How can Fiorini get any suppport?

Mind-boggling.

[golfguru]

3. It is the economy and people must be desperate n/t

[quiller4]

17. No. Its the advertising. Fiorina is running more ads than KIA right now and

Boxer doesn't have any ads up yet.

[RBInMaine]

2. Bad economy hurts incumbents. But the campaign is just starting. Remember that.

[golfguru]

4. Right-On, no worries n/t

[totodeinhere]

11. When it comes to a political campaign, never say "no worries." Anything can happen. n/t

[SteppingRazor]

5. Ridiculous story.

Here's the entire polling history for that race:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/ca/california_senate_boxer_vs_fiorina-1094.html


Now, note how the story says that Boxer once held a 30-point lead over Fiorina. Well, that's true ... A YEAR AND A HALF AGO, and before Fiorina won the Republican primary. It's an unfair comparison that's been made to deliberately paint Boxer in a negative light. Throughout 2010, this race has been in single digits.

All too often, when people start rants about the media here at DU, I find myself defending the trade. But this is a prime example of bias in reporting. I suspect it's not really conservative bias, but instead the real bias of most major media outlets -- sensationalism. It's not a story unless there's a horse race. It's sad that, even in a race that's actually somewhat competitive, such as this CA Senator's race, media figures nevertheless see a need to conflate numbers to mean something they do not.

[golfguru]

7. MSM always wants to sensationalize news

otherwise no one will pay attention. So always use a grain of salt.

[Armstead]

6. Carly (I almost single handedly wrecked HP) Fiorina

Proof of the Peter Principle ("Everyone rioses to the level of their incompetence).

Any California voter that chooses her over Boxer is a dunce.

[DCBob]

10. Boxer should put out an ad on just that topic..

Something like "Do you really want to elect someone who will be dealing with critical state and national fiscal issues who led a fortune 500 company in a financial toilet?"

[Carolina]

8. I dunno

CA gave us Reagan!

[golfguru]

9. That was more than 30 years ago

CA has changed quite a lot since then.

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/c/a/2010/07/08/MNM51EAVTM.DTL

[FrenchieCat]

12. Well, maybe a lot of Dems will stay home to make a point!

After all, isn't that how we get more things done?
Or that's what I heard!

[KingFlorez]

13. That's not ominous for Barbara Boxer

Anyone who remembers her first re-election campaign knows that she polled very closely against Matt Fong, but went on to win by 10%. I don't know how much she'll win by this round, but she always ends up pulling better numbers than polling shows.

[golfguru]

14. K & R n/t

[golfguru]

22. Point well taken but...

economy in CA is much different now.

[4lbs]

15. Boxer has just started campaigning. Her lead will grow. She'll win.

It won't be a double-digit win, but I figure Boxer will beat Fiorina by about 6 or 7 points.

53 to 46 with 1% other.

[winstars]

16. you are right...

I think that Boxer will crush Fiorina by 10 points... once the ads go up and people learn about what an ass HP killer is we will be fine. Boxer is a fighter and will not take BS from a punk!!!

[LiberalFighter]

18. You are right!!!!

1) There are 116 days before the election. Too early to worry.
2) California knows Boxer. She has more positive than baggage.
3) California don't know Fiorini yet. But will soon enough when it matters. So the voters don't forget before they vote.
4) Boxer probably has pissed off fewer voters than Fiorini that are likely to vote for them.
5) Boxer may have some special endorsements lined up before this is over. Like maybe HP?

[WI_DEM]

19. All the polls have shown a tight race in CA, lets hope that Boxer and Brown can win

[lame54]

20. I love Boxer, but...

her stance on marijuana legalization is wrong

[discopants]

21. most people I know who will work the phones at my local Dem campaign office

are planning to start in late September. Fiorina is spending wads of her own cash right now and that show itself in the polling.