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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-01-11 09:15 AM
Original message
"...easily the best two-month stretch in the last five years."
Posted with permission...


http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2011_04/028736.php

PRIVATE-SECTOR JOB GROWTH LOOKS STRONG, EXCEEDS EXPECTATIONS.... In the previous post, we talked about the new monthly jobs report, but in keeping with tradition, here's a slightly different chart -- one showing just the private sector job market.

In March, the overall economy added 216,000 jobs, but 14,000 Americans working in the public sector left the workforce, as state and local governments continued to cut spending. The private sector, however, added 230,000 jobs, marking the 13th consecutive month of private-sector growth.

More important that the streak, however, is the data. The 230,000 total not only beat expectations, it's a genuinely good number. We're accustomed to dealing with relative encouragement -- results that are only heartening because of the larger, awful context. But a month in which 230,000 private-sector jobs were created is actually quite strong regardless of context.

Indeed, looking at the chart below, it's worth emphasizing that March's private-sector numbers were the second best since the Great Recession began in 2007, second only to February of this year. The combined data from February and March is easily the best two-month stretch in the last five years.

It is, in other words, encouraging.
As we talked about earlier, the kind of robust job growth we'd need to bring the unemployment rate down in a hurry would require even stronger employment numbers, but given the hole we've been in, what we're looking for are significant steps in the right direction. That's exactly the news we received today.

With that in mind, here is a different homemade chart, showing monthly job losses/gains in the private sector since the start of the Great Recession. The image makes a distinction -- red columns point to monthly job totals under the Bush administration, while blue columns point to job totals under the Obama administration.




—Steve Benen
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JoePhilly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-01-11 09:25 AM
Response to Original message
1. He really needs a line on that chart showing the passage of the stimulus.
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karynnj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-01-11 09:49 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. February 10, 2009
Because it was in Obama's FIRST month in office, I think the blue and red really do cover it.
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JoePhilly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-01-11 09:52 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. Correct, but lots of folks forget when it was. The first full month of
the stimulus was March 2009.

Drawing the line right between Feb 2009 and March 2009 would be an explicit reminder of exactly when it happened, and what has occurred since. Most Americans still think the stimulus had no effect. Showing it explicitly would change that.

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karynnj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-01-11 10:22 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. Good point
I remember that time, watching 401 K numbers fall by the day and unemployment numbers increase. April was a point where it looked for the first time to me that we were turning the corner - and things were getting better. It is completely clear that the stimulus, the TARP, and the loans to GM and Chrysler were the reasons. It didn't happen immediately, but the impact was pretty quick.
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JoePhilly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-01-11 01:42 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Yes ... and yet the general public still thinks none of those things helped.
Makes me insane.
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Peacetrain Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-01-11 09:28 AM
Response to Original message
2. We are sitting here talking about this right now.. showing charts over my shoulder
Thank you. It is good to be retired.. but sharing this with family and friends at coffee is good too. Had read the Yahoo article but did not have this chart.. There are a couple of others farther down thread. Looking at that upward momentum is like spring coming. K&R
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FSogol Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-01-11 09:33 AM
Response to Original message
3. K & R. n/t
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opihimoimoi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-01-11 02:26 PM
Response to Original message
8. Delusion allows the Baggers/GOPers to reject the above...they use denial
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