Obama's base Electoral vote for 2012 is 247

[craigmatic]

Looks like this is going to be easier than previously thought. Here's the link- http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/ljs2011042101/

[Dkc05]

1. The race is over before it begins.

4 more years of progress. We will get the house back too.

[gtx53550]

10. +1

[mikekohr]

15. 4 More Years, and 25+ in '12 nt

[earthside]

2. Problem is ...

... that the Repuglicans could run all of the toss-up states.

Counting chickens before they hatch in this political environment is dangerous.

[Dkc05]

4. The machine already have the votes in house.

We win the electoral college. Game over.

[jenmito]

3. All he has to do is win in the "toss-up state" of FL, and with the Rs running on the Ryan plan,

that should be pretty darn easy.

[DontTreadOnMe]

5. If the DEMs could turn Florida

we could hold a solid advantage for decades.

[krawhitham]

12. GOP handed us Florida when they voted to kill Medicare

[Hippo_Tron]

6. This isn't much of a projection, Sabato just used Gore and Kerry's results as a baseline

[Keith Bee]

7. Sabato: "This is merely a baseline.....

...from which we can judge more reliable projections made closer to the election."

Means nothing.

[center rising]

8. I'm not taking anything for granted.

[Hutzpa]

9. I'm not worried about Obama

my sole concern is winning back Congress and maintain the Senate, that's the only way we can get things done.

We need a super majority in both the House ad the Senate.

[krawhitham]

11. after what Kashit is doing to Ohio no way it goes red

[DCBob]

13. Obama's and the Dem's big advantage is that they pretty much have a guaranteed large block of..

electoral votes from some big solid blue states.. ie CA, NY, IL. However, there are some questions now about those big lighter blue states like PA, MI, WI. I still thinks he wins relatively easily depending on who the GOPer candidate.. but we can never take anything for granted considering media bias, the cut-throat nature of the opposition, and ignorance of the general public.

[vroomvroom]

14. Hilary Clinton was the same way -- and we saw how that turned out.

Wake me up in 1.5 years when the election starts and polls REALLY matter.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

17. With Hillary, most of that was due to the piss poor campaign she ran and her antics. n/t

[Papagoose]

16. Take nothing for granted

This may not be as easy as you think - we are up against some seriously dirty players