New models predict at least 1 million deaths in China amid covid surge

[NJCher]

Covid articles are free at Washington Post. Link below.

snip

A fast-spreading covid-19 outbreak in China has researchers predicting a surge in virus-related deaths next year, with several analyses forecasting more than 1 million fatalities in a country that until now has largely kept the coronavirus in check.

Earlier this month, China dramatically loosened its strict “zero covid” policies following a wave of protests in towns and cities where residents were fed up with years of stringent lockdowns, mass testing and centralized quarantines. The demonstrations marked the most significant show of public dissent in China in years.

But many of China’s 1.4 billion people remain vulnerable to the virus because of limited exposure, low vaccination rates and poor investment in emergency care. And now, funeral homes and crematoriums in Beijing, the capital, are struggling to keep up with demand, Reuters reported.

link

[Sanity Claws]

1. Also, they are using a less effective vaccine.

[Omnipresent]

2. Yikes!!

[SheltieLover]

3. Probably a big underestimate!

[Irish_Dem]

4. I think the same thing. Big underestimate.

[SheltieLover]

6. From what I know about China, from people who were born there

& still visit annually, it is ridiculously filthy & overcrowded.

Not a great combo.

[Irish_Dem]

7. It is much better in some respects from 25 years ago.

But yes by American standards it is not what we are used to.

The overcrowding situation is hard to explain to Americans.

I have visited China several times.

The first time I visited a "small town" of 10 million people, I was overwhelmed.
The crowds were immense.

Picture every day life like exiting a huge football stadium.

So yes not a good situation from a contagious disease perspective.

Yes sanitation is not what we are used to either.

[louis-t]

5. So, when all the people that protested lockdowns

start dying by the tens of thousands, will they start screaming for hydroxychloroquine and horse paste? Will they start beating up doctors for not telling them their relative is dying of lung cancer? Asking for a friend.