General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhere the Senate stands on the Iran deal
Congress has until mid-September to review the nuclear deal President Obama just signed with Iran. Lawmakers will vote on a yes-or-no resolution that could give the deal the go-ahead -- or halt it at least temporarily.
Obama has vowed to veto any "no" vote or effort to dilute a deal that he says will keep Iran from building a bomb. But because an agreement was reached just before the August recess, opponents of the agreement have two months to rally support for their side and try to gather the two-thirds majorities required to overcome that veto.
Which is where we come in. Will Congress get the two-thirds it needs? At least in the Senate, we can glean something of an idea of where things stand.
So we've begun monitoring all the senators' comments on the issue and classifying them accordingly. Be sure to bookmark this page for the latest updates. We'll update this whip count regularly.
And if we miss anything or classify a senator wrongly, make sure to let us know via e-mail.
Current state of play
(Updated 7:57 a.m. on Aug. 11)
Yes or leaning yes (34 needed to uphold veto, keep the deal): 29
No or leaning no (67 needed to override veto, kill the deal): 58
Unknown/unclear: 13
more
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/07/14/whip-count-where-the-senate-stands-on-the-iran-deal/
Surprised to see Wyden on the Leaning No list. I guess he has really gone over to the dark side.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Somewhere between 32-35 votes to uphold a veto.
Cardin is the key.
There aren't any reliable pro-diplomacy votes remaining uncommitted. The uncommitted ones are all "get tough with Iran" types.
lamp_shade
(14,851 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)If we get 6/13 that would be a major accomplishment.
lamp_shade
(14,851 posts)FYI - "The Hill" has their own Whip Count which differs slightly from WP (e.g. they have Reed as a Yes).
Here's a link...
http://thehill.com/blogs/floor-action/senate/247956-the-hills-whip-list-senators-take-sides-on-iran-deal
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Ron Wyden takes his cues from Rand Paul when it comes to foreign policy, international relations and national security.
Peters? Eh.
Coons, Mikulski, Murray, Cardin, are all hardliners on Iran. Combine that with the DINOs like Heitkamp, Donnelly, Warner and it get queasy pretty quickly.
pampango
(24,692 posts)are more likely to uphold a veto than are the Democrats in the Senate.
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)n2doc
(47,953 posts)davidpdx
(22,000 posts)It is very possible he will side with Chuck Schumer. Wyden has already messed up big by supporting fast track. I don't have much hope he'll for for the deal.
6chars
(3,967 posts)some of the leaners may lean back the other way
davidpdx
(22,000 posts)I hope so.