Huh... the tea leaves on the latest CNN poll
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/02/29/rel4a.-.2016.primaries.pdf
(This delves into GDP territory but is general enough I figured I'd try it here -- for that matter it's difficult to figure out where to place articles that address both parties' primaries...)
52% of all voters "extremely" or "very" enthusiastic about voting in this year's Presidential election
52% of Democratic voters "extremely" or "very" enthusiastic about voting
58% of Republican voters "extremely" or "very" enthusiastic about voting
(the math says this means that no-lean independents are very unenthusiastic about voting)
Among Republicans nationally, Trump
is at 49%. Rubio is in second place,
33 points below him.
68% of GOP voters say they have already made up their mind completely about their primary choice
Cruz gets 69% "definitely" or "probably" support in the general among Republicans vs 31% "definitely not" or "probably not".
Rubio gets 69% vs. 29%
Trump gets
52% vs 48%, with 35% "definitely not support". I have never seen a frontrunner's numbers be this bad in their own party.
On our side, Clinton has increased her national lead with 55% to Sanders's 38%. 67% of Democrats' say their mind is already made up. Clinton gets 65% vs. 33% in Democratic support in the general; Sanders gets 74% vs. 24%. (Anybody who wants to talk about these numbers please start a GDP discussion; I'm just including them for completeness.)