How would you interpret these polls?

[kentuck]

A month ago, Trump was sitting at 30% and in first place in Wisconsin.

A recent poll showed Ted Cruz had gained 21 percentage points and was about 10 points ahead of Donald Trump, who was still sitting at 30%? Kasich had also gained double digits in the latest poll.

What does it show when Trump did not gain even one point in the latest poll, even though several candidates had dropped out of the race? Does he top out at about 30%, the Tea Party voters of the Republican Party?

What is the explanation?

[Brother Buzz]

1. Trump has a base and....

a ceiling.

[B Calm]

2. The fix is in.

[BillZBubb]

3. The republican "establishment" has been effective.

They are backing cruz, who is much, much worse than trump.

[marble falls]

4. All of the truly brain damaged have been signed up with tRump from day one. He's got all the ....

low information voters locked up - there ain't no more!

[underpants]

5. They've seen (not just heard) him on TV

and it weren't good

[geek tragedy]

6. Snott Walker is the establishment in Wisconsin, and the Republicans there

are pretty satisfied with that brand of sleaze.

Trump is attacking Walker there, because he's just flailing

[leftynyc]

7. You're leaving out a lot

If it's the poll I'm thinking of (recently released with cruz up 10), then the margin of error was 5.8. Any statistician will tell you it's a worthless poll with a MOE that high. Anything over 4 is suspect. But all else being equal, Donnie has a floor and a ceiling.

[CTyankee]

8. wow, it must have been a small sample...