Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumThe pollsters and MSM pundits who follow the polls have a much bigger problem then HRC
Michigan may be an example of polls about elections in open primary states are about as accurate as divining the future by looking at chicken guts. Some of the pollsters are talking about Michigan being a major upset. But there ought not be any upsets if the polling is accurate. The outcome should be known beforehand. At least within the margin of error. The pollsters don't do what they are doing for free. They have a product to sell and if that product is garbage, then they have a serious problem.
HRC, on the other hand, widened her pledged delegate lead and the math for Bernie got much harder.
Mika
(17,751 posts)William769
(55,150 posts)If I say any more, well you know...
wildeyed
(11,243 posts)the pollsters expected. Historically, it was an anomaly. The big question is how much of an anomaly? Are they ALSO off in other states with open primaries? Because if that is true, this race is tighter than pollsters are saying. And primaries are always harder to poll. If a small group gets energized, then they can take control of the process because so few voters participate in the first place. Look at the Tea Party for lessons. And who could have guessed that Trump would still be in the race now, much less leading the pack? I didn't.
I am a strong Clinton supporter, but I like to be smart about this stuff. If this is coming down the pike, better to see it. Also a wake up for those who might be inclined to donate more or volunteer a few hours for phone banking.