If Bernie can win 3 or even 4 states tonight, that really will be awesome news!

[reformist2]

This is the best date on the primary calendar for Hillary. If Bernie can come out of it with a handful of victories, that is nothing short of fantastic. Going forward the calendar becomes *much* more favorable for Bernie. The wins will start rolling in, and Bernie will pull ahead nationally.

[Csainvestor]

1. He can win it in ca.

Bernie is going to take this all the way to the end.

[dlwickham]

6. Ca as in Canada?

Because polls in California show that Hillary is leading there

[nadinbrzezinski]

8. You also know the election is JUNE 7, which is an eternity in poltics

[dlwickham]

10. She's been holding steady for the past year

[nadinbrzezinski]

12. And we just started to see national add buys targeting california

for the record, I do not expect my state to matter, we rarely do. So I am mot going to the polls for the fracking primary

[reformist2]

15. She declines as the primary draws near.

[dlwickham]

21. I haven't seen the final numbers yet but Hillary pretty much clinched it today

he has to sweep practically every race coming up by a good solid maturity to win the nomination and he has no chance of doing so

[roguevalley]

9. I agree. People gave him 40m$ to win. no one is going anywhere but forward

she won't get California, Washington, Oregon and Alaska.

[JackRiddler]

2. Four: OK, VT, MN and CO - and MA not called yet.

MA: 51-48 for Clinton at 73% reporting, so it's looking bad for a win but a good delegate split.

[Garrett78]

3. Where would you expect Sanders to win going forward? Oregon maybe. Washington, perhaps. Where else?

I can't see Sanders coming anywhere close to the number of delegates he needs to secure the nomination. The next 2 Tuesdays will also be good nights for Clinton more than likely. Bernie's delegate deficit is getting steeper and steeper in spite of him likely winning 4 states tonight.

Also, winning a state makes for a helpful narrative, but tonight's states aren't winner-take-all, so Clinton is picking up delegates even in states that she's losing.

Basic math says Clinton is going to win the nomination with ease.

[Freaked Out]

4. He's going to win 4 states.

tonight and will get the rest when the schedule shifts to Bernie.

[book_worm]

7. Really? He's behind in FL, MI, IL, OH, PA, NC...

Hillary will come out of this with an insurmountable lead in delegates.

[Cali_Democrat]

14. You're right....

I don't think a lot of DUers understand how the primary process works.

It's kinda embarassing actually.

[reformist2]

16. It's amusing that you think Bernie's rise - or Hillary's decline - has stopped.

[Codeine]

11. What states can he win with big margins?

I'm serious. where can he make up tonight's deficit by taking BIG wins out of Clinton? There's no path for him that doesn't involve really beating the tar out of her somewhere, but I don't know where that is.

[Garrett78]

17. That's not entirely true.

There are quite a few winner-take-all states starting March 15th, meaning you get every delegate even if you win by just 1 vote. That's the only reason Rubio is still considered viable, though he's having a bad Super Tuesday. The problem for Sanders is he's not likely to win many, if any, of those winner-take-all states. So, yeah, the race is essentially over.

[mythology]

19. There are no winner take all primaries for Democrats

Only Republicans have those.

[Garrett78]

20. I stand corrected.

My apologies. I misread this: http://www.uspresidentialelectionnews.com/2016-presidential-primary-schedule-calendar/

That only makes it that much harder for Sanders.

[Jitter65]

5. Yes, he said he thought he would win 5 nt

[cwydro]

13. He's behind in Mass at this point.

That surprises me.

[Codeine]

18. I think it's surprising us all.

I'm quite pleased even if he squeaks out a win there, because Clinton wins ties.