Stunning change in Ohio polls!

[JudyM]

Bernie is Bernin up Ohio!! Closing in by the minute...

Ohio Democratic Presidential Primary Quinnipiac Clinton 51, Sanders 46 Clinton +5
Ohio Democratic Presidential Primary Monmouth Clinton 54, Sanders 40 Clinton +14
Ohio Democratic Presidential Primary PPP (D)* Clinton 46, Sanders 41 Clinton +5
Ohio Democratic Presidential Primary ARG Clinton 52, Sanders 45 Clinton +7


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/

[Bleacher Creature]

1. He's totally going to catch her two weeks from now!

[livetohike]

2. LOL

😄

[Punkingal]

3. Naw, gonna catch her tomorrow.

[JudyM]

4. Hoping so, or at least closing in as tight as these polls.

[Barack_America]

6. With this velocity, he's likely already past her.

Just got to get those voters to the polls. Fortunately, he just opened up 19 GOTV centers throughout OH.

[JudyM]

15. & started a canvass out of Mansfield/Shelby, need to get canvassers and friends to tell friends!

[GreatGazoo]

5. what was the spread the night before Michigan?

Found it: 55 clinton 42 sanders (monmouth)

Ohio is totally in range.

[Barack_America]

7. Roughly 4X this OH spread.

Monmouth was the outlier. Half the spread of the rest of the polls. The average was about +21 for Clinton.

[GreatGazoo]

8. wow

just found this while research the poll discrepancy thing...



http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jonathan-greenberg/polldefying-pattern-predi_b_9434118.html

[Barack_America]

9. Yep. The revolution apparently can't be polled.

Really though, the key here is an amazing swing towards Bernie among independent voters.

A wiser party would recognize that as general election gold and latch on to it.

[Go Vols]

10. The Revolution

seems to give no credence to polls or TV,and yet it grows.

[Samantha]

11. The "swing" was there from the beginning of this campaign at 51%

of Independents voting for Bernie Sanders. I posted that here at that time. The difference between then and now is that people (especially the pollsters) woke up last week after the Michigan vote and found out the truth of the matter. With the mix of the Dems he is carrying, the increased amount of Independents he is now carrying (about 3 or 4 percent more as of this moment!) and the Republicans crossing over, I don't think what we are seeing now is anyway representative of what will happen tomorrow. Just my 2 cents.

Sam

[AzDar]

12. GOTV, Buckeyes!!

[ucrdem]

13. Unfortunately negative advertising will do that.

The kind Sanders promised not to use. Well, he used it in Michigan, and he won, so I imagine he's using it in OH.

[GreatGazoo]

14. why is that negative? it never mentions your person. None of his ads do.

THIS is a negative ad -- 1. focuses exclusively on separating a specific candidate from their base, 2. quotes out of context in an impactful way, 3. frames the whole thing with a bogus question that they force the answer on. Sanders has never done such an ad and has no Super PACs.