Live: Democratic Primary Exit Poll Analysis
Who turned out in Tuesday's Wisconsin primary and what motivated their votes?
Here are some of our observations of exit poll results from Democrats voting in the primary tonight.
This latest update is based on preliminary exit poll results. Check back for updates.
Wisconsin Primary: 5 Story Lines to Watch in the Badger State
Emerging Themes
Inspiration vs. electability
A new hearts-vs.-heads question explores competing concerns in the Democratic presidential race: On one hand, voters in today’s Wisconsin primary are more apt to see Bernie Sanders as inspirational; on the other, they’re also more apt to see Hillary Clinton has having the better chance to beat Donald Trump in November. It’s a result that captures the division between the Democratic candidates.
Excitement
In contrast to divisions on the GOP side, about three-quarters of Democratic primary voters are “excited” or “optimistic” about the prospect of a Sanders presidency, as are seven in 10 about a Clinton presidency. Excitement, though, is about twice as high for Sanders than for Clinton.
Honesty
Clinton has had problems with views of her honesty and which are apparent today in Wisconsin. Just six in 10 Wisconsin Democratic voters say she’s honest and trustworthy, vs. about nine in 10 who say so about Sanders. That’s among Sanders’ highest honesty ratings in any primary to date, even approaching his rating in his home state of Vermont.
Race
Whites account for more than eight in 10 Wisconsin Democratic primary voters in preliminary exit poll results, well above the 60 percent they’ve averaged across the 2016 primaries. Nonwhites make up fewer than two in 10 voters, including just one in 10 who are blacks – far below their average levels this year, 40 and 26 percent, respectively.
In previous primaries, whites have voted 50-48 Sanders-Clinton, vs. 72-26 percent Clinton-Sanders among nonwhites. Sanders won whites in recent primaries in North Carolina, Missouri, Illinois and Michigan, though he lost them in Ohio, Florida and Mississippi.
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