2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumApparently Ras was the most reliable in 2008
according to this site. Maybe do more research...
http://electoralmap.net/2012/2008_election.php
Response to cilla4progress (Original post)
RandySF This message was self-deleted by its author.
Cirque du So-What
(26,027 posts)in 2008, (R)ASSmussen consistently showed McAnus ahead of Barack Obama...until the eve of the election, when they made a major course correction and called it for President Obama - just in time to garner the 'most reliable' title.
cilla4progress
(24,800 posts)DrToast
(6,414 posts)However, they weren't reliable in 2010.
Cirque du So-What
(26,027 posts)for not doing my own research. Thanks for correcting my mistaken assumption.
DrToast
(6,414 posts)CHeck out RCP.
helpisontheway
(5,008 posts)Progressive dog
(6,931 posts)Notice that they only claim this "accuracy" on their last national poll. Maybe do more research before posting.
cilla4progress
(24,800 posts)Progressive dog
(6,931 posts)cilla4progress
(24,800 posts)2008 - rated highly reliable; 2010 - Nate says nuts to Ras!
Progressive dog
(6,931 posts)[link:http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics/graduate_schools/gsas/elections_and_campaign_/2008%20poll%20accuracy%20panagopoulos.pdf|
When assessing polling accuracy, there are various ways of measuring. In 2012, when you have polls that consistently are outliers, like Rasmussen--which were some of the worst polls in the 2010 cycle, it certainly defies credibility that anyone would still consider them as one of the more accurate pollsters.
cilla4progress
(24,800 posts)Not sure @ sustainability of various pollsters. I don't even see PPP in the 2008, nor 2010 (I think?) pollster listings?
cilla4progress
(24,800 posts)and comparing to this list.
Ras has O up 5 in PA right now. Good!