2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNate...does it get any better than this?
IMO...Best part of the article....
"But the Dick Morrises of the world arent going away either. In todays polarized media landscape, one purpose is to inform, but another is to make the news consumer feel comfortable. Fox News will give lots of air time to pundits who just happen to lean Republican. MSNBC will do the same for liberals. Viewers who want to break out of partisan closed-feedback loops will need to try to discern which experts know what theyre talking about and which are just repeating what they think the partisan skew of the audience demands.
Because and heres our last point its really about time that journalism stepped up its performance in this area. The politicians themselves adopted a quantification-heavy approach to their business long ago. In terms of voter analysis, microtargeting, and other techniques theyre far beyond what the media discusses. In the book Moneyball, Michael Lewis wrote how statistics revolutionized baseball. Well, the Voterball revolution is upon us, if it hasnt already occurred."
http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/Decoder-Wire/2012/1107/Election-2012-Has-Nate-Silver-destroyed-punditry
Enjoy.
djnicadress
(39 posts)Nate got every state correct. the electoral count was O. 332. with fl. R.206. Nates num. O. 313 R. 225 why are his numbers off?
Sophiegirl
(2,338 posts)That is the beauty of it. They'll be trying to figure out how he did it. I can't wait to see what nonsense they come up with.
Gnashing of teeth have already begun.
msanthrope
(37,549 posts)I wasn't being negative.
Thanks for the kindness!!
I WILL enjoy my stay, thank you very much!!
Your apology is accepted in advance.
reflection
(6,286 posts)but I don't think he/she was replying to you, but rather the person above you.
msanthrope
(37,549 posts)So I sincerely apologize for your mistake.
Sophiegirl
(2,338 posts)I'm new...and learning the ropes.
But you shouldn't apologize for me. That's pretty condescending.
Just say'n
scheming daemons
(25,487 posts)But 332-206 was the most frequent outcome, occurring in nearly 20% of those 10000 simulations.