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Sophiegirl

(2,338 posts)
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 07:18 PM Nov 2012

Nate...does it get any better than this?

IMO...Best part of the article....

"But the Dick Morrises of the world aren’t going away either. In today’s polarized media landscape, one purpose is to inform, but another is to make the news consumer feel comfortable. Fox News will give lots of air time to pundits who just happen to lean Republican. MSNBC will do the same for liberals. Viewers who want to break out of partisan closed-feedback loops will need to try to discern which “experts” know what they’re talking about and which are just repeating what they think the partisan skew of the audience demands.

Because – and here’s our last point – it’s really about time that journalism stepped up its performance in this area. The politicians themselves adopted a quantification-heavy approach to their business long ago. In terms of voter analysis, microtargeting, and other techniques they’re far beyond what the media discusses. In the book “Moneyball,” Michael Lewis wrote how statistics revolutionized baseball. Well, the “Voterball” revolution is upon us, if it hasn’t already occurred."

http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/Decoder-Wire/2012/1107/Election-2012-Has-Nate-Silver-destroyed-punditry

Enjoy.

10 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Nate...does it get any better than this? (Original Post) Sophiegirl Nov 2012 OP
I'm comfused? djnicadress Nov 2012 #1
They weren't. Sophiegirl Nov 2012 #2
Your concern is noted. Please feel free to share more of your concerns, and enjoy your stay. nt msanthrope Nov 2012 #3
Wow Sophiegirl Nov 2012 #7
I'm not sure, I'm viewing on a tablet, reflection Nov 2012 #8
My dear, if you look in the upper right hand side of my post, you will see I wasn't replying to you. msanthrope Nov 2012 #9
No biggie. Sophiegirl Nov 2012 #10
313-225 was the AVERAGE of his 10000 simulations scheming daemons Nov 2012 #4
thanks for an actual answer, I was wondering that myself. faithfulcitizen Nov 2012 #6
Ironic: A "Christian Science" site talking about the importance of Facts boingboinh Nov 2012 #5
 

djnicadress

(39 posts)
1. I'm comfused?
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 07:55 PM
Nov 2012

Nate got every state correct. the electoral count was O. 332. with fl. R.206. Nates num. O. 313 R. 225 why are his numbers off?

Sophiegirl

(2,338 posts)
2. They weren't.
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 09:40 PM
Nov 2012

That is the beauty of it. They'll be trying to figure out how he did it. I can't wait to see what nonsense they come up with.

Gnashing of teeth have already begun.

Sophiegirl

(2,338 posts)
7. Wow
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:51 PM
Nov 2012

I wasn't being negative.

Thanks for the kindness!!

I WILL enjoy my stay, thank you very much!!

Your apology is accepted in advance.

reflection

(6,286 posts)
8. I'm not sure, I'm viewing on a tablet,
Thu Nov 8, 2012, 12:54 AM
Nov 2012

but I don't think he/she was replying to you, but rather the person above you.

 

msanthrope

(37,549 posts)
9. My dear, if you look in the upper right hand side of my post, you will see I wasn't replying to you.
Thu Nov 8, 2012, 12:55 AM
Nov 2012

So I sincerely apologize for your mistake.

Sophiegirl

(2,338 posts)
10. No biggie.
Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:01 AM
Nov 2012


I'm new...and learning the ropes.

But you shouldn't apologize for me. That's pretty condescending.

Just say'n


 

scheming daemons

(25,487 posts)
4. 313-225 was the AVERAGE of his 10000 simulations
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:36 PM
Nov 2012

But 332-206 was the most frequent outcome, occurring in nearly 20% of those 10000 simulations.

faithfulcitizen

(3,191 posts)
6. thanks for an actual answer, I was wondering that myself.
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:47 PM
Nov 2012
Nate Silver needs his own show in the next election season! Thanks Nate!
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