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totodeinhere

(13,059 posts)
Sat Aug 29, 2015, 11:53 PM Aug 2015

Just a word of encouragement to those worried about the superdelegates.

Since the current delegate allocation system was first used in 1984, a majority of superdelegates has always gone to the candidate who got the most delegates from the primaries and caucuses. If Bernie can win the most delegates in the primaries and caucuses the superdelegates would not dare deny him the nomination.

And remember that at this stage of the 2008 campaign Clinton had a lot of superdelegates pledged to her as well. But as Barack Obama started to win a lot of primaries and caucuses some of those previously pledged superdelegates bolted and went over to Obama.

So don't be discouraged by Hillary's assumed lead among superdleegates.

22 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Just a word of encouragement to those worried about the superdelegates. (Original Post) totodeinhere Aug 2015 OP
Roger That cantbeserious Aug 2015 #1
If they prove to do otherwise artislife Aug 2015 #2
Strangely it is to that point. Phlem Aug 2015 #5
They will see the writing on the wall Cry Aug 2015 #3
I think you're right. All Bernie needs to do is to keep on building the movement he sabrina 1 Aug 2015 #12
Thank you for your wisdom and insights emsimon33 Aug 2015 #4
I am not worried about delegates, endorsements or polls ibegurpard Aug 2015 #6
I hate to sound ominous, but... Old Crow Aug 2015 #7
I totally agree with you, jkbRN Aug 2015 #8
Yes Bernie's safety should be a top priority. We can all agree on that. totodeinhere Aug 2015 #16
To be more specific Flying Squirrel Aug 2015 #9
Resorting to the super delegate tactic this early out is undemocratic and infuriating. stillwaiting Aug 2015 #11
If superdelegates are always going to follow the primary vote, why have even have them? merrily Aug 2015 #10
The superdelegate system grew out of the McGovern defeat in 1972. There was totodeinhere Aug 2015 #14
Thank you. I know the history and the memes, true or false. merrily Aug 2015 #17
OK, to answer your question personally I would eliminate the superdelegates totodeinhere Aug 2015 #18
? I didn't ask or expect you to defend them. merrily Aug 2015 #20
Great comment and very encouraging. :-) Karma13612 Aug 2015 #21
Thanks! merrily Sep 2015 #22
Agree - the party needs to realize TBF Aug 2015 #13
When Bernie wins the most primaries RoccoR5955 Aug 2015 #19
I would love to agree but Le Taz Hot Aug 2015 #15
 

artislife

(9,497 posts)
2. If they prove to do otherwise
Sun Aug 30, 2015, 12:02 AM
Aug 2015

either for the loser whether it be H or Bernie, then there is going to be serious rethinking about what the party actually stands for.

Phlem

(6,323 posts)
5. Strangely it is to that point.
Sun Aug 30, 2015, 12:08 AM
Aug 2015

When the chips fall it will be glaringly obvious if the game is corrupt or not. I frankly can't wait.



 

Cry

(65 posts)
3. They will see the writing on the wall
Sun Aug 30, 2015, 12:03 AM
Aug 2015

once Bernie begins the domino effect of winning Iowa/NH, followed by South Carolina in a surprise upset. Then the endorsements will begin to pour in.



sabrina 1

(62,325 posts)
12. I think you're right. All Bernie needs to do is to keep on building the movement he
Sun Aug 30, 2015, 09:19 AM
Aug 2015

is building so that there are so many people who are a part of it, they simply cannot ignore it anymore. And he's off to a great start.

ibegurpard

(16,685 posts)
6. I am not worried about delegates, endorsements or polls
Sun Aug 30, 2015, 12:36 AM
Aug 2015

This far out from the first primaries and caucuses.

Old Crow

(2,212 posts)
7. I hate to sound ominous, but...
Sun Aug 30, 2015, 01:54 AM
Aug 2015

... I'm more worried about Bernie Sanders's personal safety than about superdelegates--particularly if his poll numbers continue to climb. His agenda will upset a lot of billion-dollar apple carts. I hope he starts looking into some security measures soon, if he hasn't already.

totodeinhere

(13,059 posts)
16. Yes Bernie's safety should be a top priority. We can all agree on that.
Sun Aug 30, 2015, 12:37 PM
Aug 2015

Hillary Clinton has Secret Service protection due to her status as a former first lady. And she should have that protection. But now is the time to provide Bernie with Secret Service protection as well. It is time for President Obama to issue the executive order to make it happen.

 

Flying Squirrel

(3,041 posts)
9. To be more specific
Sun Aug 30, 2015, 03:22 AM
Aug 2015

There are over 800 superdelegates. Hillary got fewer than 300 to commit to her in 2008, and 50 of those defected after Obama had sewed up the nomination (she released the rest later). These news reports are meant to further the inevitability idea just like in 2007-8. It didn't work then; no reason to believe it will be different this time around. The overwhelming majority of the superdelegates will not commit till Super Tuesday at the earliest (there were still 99 uncommitted after Hillary suspended her campaign in '08). Not only that, but the fact that she is resorting to the superdelegate tactic this early out smells of desperation or at least serious concern to me.

stillwaiting

(3,795 posts)
11. Resorting to the super delegate tactic this early out is undemocratic and infuriating.
Sun Aug 30, 2015, 07:58 AM
Aug 2015

Positively undemocratic and a huge slap in the face to Democratic voters.

We have to get rid of super delegates as soon as possible. It's a huge stain on our Party.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
10. If superdelegates are always going to follow the primary vote, why have even have them?
Sun Aug 30, 2015, 07:04 AM
Aug 2015

All the existence of the institution does is make the Party appear undemocratic.

On the other issue, I don't believe comparisons with Obama are necessarily apt. Party leaders approached him to run because they thought Hillary a weak candidate for that time and the msm treated him like a rock star phenom from the time he made his speech at the 2004 Democratic National Convention that nominated Kerry/Edwards. He no sooner finished the speech than media declared him Presidential timber. Also, though most of his career, even in the Illinois Senate, Obama steered clear of controversial votes, such as abortion. None of that has ever been true of Sanders. Quite the opposite, in fact. Party leaders would have preferred no challenge to Hillary, as though she were an incumbent, like Obama in 2012--and I even object to that! Also, Hillary and her people learned from the 2008 campaign.

So, while we can, if we wish, take some encouragement from the Hillary Obama race, we can do so legitimately only if we know, and remain mindful, of some huge differences between Obama's 2008 campaign vs Hillary's 2008 campaign, on the one hand, and, on the other hand, Sanders 2008 campaign vs. Hillary's 2008 campaign.

Don't ever give up, but don't ever let up, either. This one is much tougher than even Obama v. Hillary 2008.

totodeinhere

(13,059 posts)
14. The superdelegate system grew out of the McGovern defeat in 1972. There was
Sun Aug 30, 2015, 12:30 PM
Aug 2015

a feeling among some party officials that the primary and caucus voters could not necessarily be trusted to choose the most competitive nominee, as evidenced by the McGovern nomination. The theory was that adding superdelegates could be a moderating influence on the process. But our current system was not adopted until 1982 as a reaction to the bloody primary fight between Jimmy Carter and Teddy Kennedy which many felt was at least partially responsible for Carter's loss in the general election.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
17. Thank you. I know the history and the memes, true or false.
Sun Aug 30, 2015, 01:10 PM
Aug 2015

Last edited Tue Sep 1, 2015, 02:23 PM - Edit history (1)

However, my question was: If superdelegates are always going to follow the primary vote, why have even have them?



BTW, while the institution of super delegates was first proposed after McGovern's defeat, it was not adopted until after Mondale's defeat. After McGovern's defeat, however, the reforms McGovern had instituted to make the party more Democratic were rescinded.


http://www.democraticunderground.com/12778825 (This ain't 1972) (be sure to read the replies as well as the OP)


http://www.democraticunderground.com/12778872 (What about Mondale, Indeed: Candidate Reagan)


http://www.democraticunderground.com/12778873 (What about Mondale, Indeed: 1976-1980)


http://www.democraticunderground.com/12778873 (What about Mondale, Indeed: Mondale)


totodeinhere

(13,059 posts)
18. OK, to answer your question personally I would eliminate the superdelegates
Sun Aug 30, 2015, 02:24 PM
Aug 2015

Last edited Sun Aug 30, 2015, 04:12 PM - Edit history (1)

making your question moot. But in the mean time until we can accomplish that I would advocate that they follow the results of the primaries and caucuses. Since I do not favor having superdelegates I am not obligated to try to defend them.

TBF

(32,139 posts)
13. Agree - the party needs to realize
Sun Aug 30, 2015, 10:53 AM
Aug 2015

we want Bernie. If the primaries go to Bernie they have to go with him or risk losing our votes in the General. They know this and that is why they've been so ugly to us. They know we're right.

 

RoccoR5955

(12,471 posts)
19. When Bernie wins the most primaries
Sun Aug 30, 2015, 02:25 PM
Aug 2015

And then if the DNC decides to nominate Clinton in the general. They will see a massive defeat, as millions shall stay home.

Le Taz Hot

(22,271 posts)
15. I would love to agree but
Sun Aug 30, 2015, 12:35 PM
Aug 2015

those super delegates had no problem switching from one pro-corporate candidate to another. It didn't matter who they backed, as long as the chosen candidate played well with the right persons the .001% didn't care who was at the top of the ticket. Not so with Bernie. They have a dilemma, however, in that, if they cast their votes to the clearly unpopular candidate, they run the risk of the party losing all credibility and completely collapsing under it's own manipulative efforts. However, if they DON'T intercede, the "right" candidate could lose and they lose their gravy train, at least in the White House.

So, yes, we do have to be ready for the super delegates and the only way to do that is through OVERWHELMING turnout for Bernie to where even THEY can't manipulate the nominating process.

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