Reply #9: Electoral Landslide? [View All]

[earthside]

Indeed!

I was playing with one of those interactive electoral college maps this weekend and I think it is within the realm of possibility that Kerry could win with 360+ electoral votes.

If Bush descends into the high 30s in approval ratings, I think it will put states like Arkansas, Louisiana, maybe Indiana into play.

My hunch has been for sometime now that Bush polls high. I just hear from too many good Republicans (I mean everyday, fiscally responsible, non-extremist types) that they are just not going to vote for Bush this time. That doesn't mean necessarily that they are going to vote for Kerry ... but they probably will just skip the presidential ballot line.

This Iraq mess and the huge deficits have really shaken up some of these old time Goldwater-style conservatives. I heard on a talk radio program this morning known conservative callers saying that they just couldn't believe anything that came out of Bush's mouth anymore.