Reply #32: Total Iraqi Deaths-Estimated Between 0.2-0.4 million [View All]

[chlamor]

Mass mortality in an Occupied country in the absence of provision of requisite medical services by the Occupiers is a war crime that can be categorized as "passive genocide".

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It can be estimated that the post-invasion under-5 infant mortality in Occupied Iraq has been about 0.2 million. However the total post-invasion avoidable mortality in Occupied Iraq can be estimated from UN <4> and medical literature <5> data to be 0.4 million as outlined below.

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According to the top medical journal The Lancet: "the crude mortality rate during the period of war and occupation was 12.3 per 1000 people per year" <5>. In comparison, a conservative estimate of what it SHOULD BE is 4.0 per thousand per year based on current death rates in Iraq's impoverished but peaceful neighbours Jordan and Syria <4>. The "excess" or "avoidable" post-invasion mortality rate is accordingly 12.3 - 4.0 = 8.3 per 1000 people per year. Assuming an Iraqi population of 25 million, the excess mortality (avoidable mortality) after 2 years of UK-US occupation has been 8.3 x 25,000 x 2 = 415,000 = 0.4 million.

It has been estimated, from data published by the UN <4>, UNICEF <3> and in the top UK medical journal The Lancet <5>, that the under-5 infant mortality and excess mortality (avoidable mortality) have been 1.2 million and 1.5 million, respectively, for Iraq since 1991; 0.2 million and 0.4 million, respectively, for Iraq since the 2003 invasion; and 0.9 million and 1.2 million, respectively, for Afghanistan since the 2001 invasion <6>.

http://www.countercurrents.org/iraq-polya110305.htm