Reply #31: Sorry, I don't agree. [View All]

[jobycom]

I'm in Texas, and my family is in Gulfport and Louisiana (many were in New Orleans), so this isn't a game to me. I've watched hurricanes all my life, and been through quite a few. I've seen a lot of hurricanes not obey the models and projected paths.

People in the path should watch this storm and decide for themselves how accurate the models are. How would you feel if you told everyone it will hit Texas and then it does hit Louisiana? People need to see the possibilities, to plan what they are going to do, and to be prepared as far out as possible.

That's why we're talking about it.

The models are several hours behind the data. The models have shown this thing hitting anywhere from Louisiana to Brownsville at various times, with their most likely point of landfall having moved from western Louisiana to Galveston and now to Corpus Christi. The model will be adjusted again, and if this is a northward turn, the models will shift back towards the east.

As I said, I hope the models heading it to Texas are right. I hope it hits just south of the line it's predicted on now, because that's reasonably unpopulated. But ignoring what it seems to be doing in favor of models known for being hit or miss isn't going to help anyone.

As for scaring people, I'm scared. The last one wiped out my home town. People all along the possible route for this thing should be scared. People who don't get scared don't watch it, they don't evacuate when they should. That's the worst thing.