Reply #2: troubling question [View All]

[Bucky]

Lieberman's chances of getting the nomination are about even with Gray Davis's. I'm seeing the race as three tiered right now.

The first tier are those with national presence already. Dean, Clark, and Kerry (but Kerry could drop to second tier if he takes 2nd in the New Hampshire primary).

The second tier are the two dark horses who could break through if the top three manage to cancel each other out. Edwards and Gephardt are serious candidates who are a little too dignified to appear desperate yet.

The third tier are the novelty candidates. They won't connect with the prize, but have their base secured enough to stay in the game till the cows come home. Sharpton, Kucinich, Lieberman, and Moseley Braun.