|
While capacity did decline in 2009 nuclear still represents a magnitude more power than wind/solar. Even if nuclear continued to decline it would take decades for wind/solar to achieve that level of capacity.
Also capacity isn't what matters. Generation is what matters. PV solar average capacity factor is slightly higher at 17%. Wind global average capacity factor is lower at 26%.
So even if "someday" wind & solar combined had capacity equal to nuclear reactors they would still output about about 1/3rd to 1/4th the energy nuclear reactors provide (depending on wind/solar split).
There is nothing wrong with wind and solar. Only one pro-nuclear person on the board constantly trashed them. We need all forms of emission free energy. What matters is total emission free energy. IF the roughly 400GW declined to 0 that is a whole of 400GW that needs to be replaced just to get us back to where we are today.
Nuclear reactors currently under construction with completion in next 4 years.
2010 Completion (7.6 GW) India, NPCIL Kaiga 4 PHWR 202MW India, NPCIL Rawatbhata 6 PHWR 202MW Iran, AEOI Bushehr 1 PWR 950MW Russia, Energoatom Rostov 2 PWR 950MW India, NPCIL Kudankulam 1 PWR 950 Canada, Bruce Power Bruce A1 PHWR 769MW Canada, Bruce Power Bruce A2 PHWR 769MW Korea, KHNP Shin Kori 1 PWR 1000MW China, CGNPC Lingao II-2 PWR 1080MW Argentina, CNEA Atucha 2 PHWR 692MW
2011 Completion (8.0 GW) India, NPCIL Kudankulam 2 PWR 950 India, NPCIL Kalpakkam FBR 470 Taiwan Power Lungmen 1 ABWR 1300 Russia, Energoatom Kalinin 4 PWR 950 Korea, KHNP Shin Kori 2 PWR 1000 China, CNNC Qinshan 4-1 PWR 650 China, CGNPC Lingao 2-1 PWR 1080 Pakistan, PAEC Chashma 2 PWR 300 Japan, Chugoku Shimane 3 PWR 1375 2012 Completion (9.9 GW) Finland, TVO Olkiluoto 3 PWR 1600 China, CNNC Qinshan 4-2 PWR 650 Taiwan Power Lungmen 2 ABWR 1300 Korea, KHNP Shin Wolsong 1 PWR 1000 France, EdF Flamanville 3 PWR 1630 Russia, Energoatom Vilyuchinsk PWRx2 70 Russia, Energoatom Novovoronezh II-1 PWR 1070 Slovakia, SE Mochovce 3 PWR 440 China, CGNPC Hongyanhe 1 PWR 1080 China, CGNPC Ningde 1 PWR 1080
2013 Completion (13.1 GW) China, CNNC Sanmen 1 PWR 1100 China, CGNPC Ningde 2 PWR 1080 Korea, KHNP Shin Wolsong 2 PWR 1000 USA, TVA Watts Bar 2 PWR 1180 Russia, Energoatom Leningrad II-1 PWR 1070 Korea, KHNP Shin Kori 3 PWR 1350 China, CGNPC Yangjiang 1 PWR 1080 China, CGNPC Taishan 1 PWR 1700 China, CNNC Fangjiashan 1 PWR 1000 China, CNNC Fuqing 1 PWR 1000 China , CGNPC Hongyanhe 2 PWR 1080 Slovakia, SE Mochovce 4 PWR 440
|