Reply #12: She's not within the MoE rinsd-- she's beaten by a big margin [View All]

[Muddy Waters Guitar]

In fact, Obama's the only one within the MoE (and even he, at this point, doesn't quite top Rudy). Hillary is demolished by a significant margin that's well beyond the MoE.

One can argue statistical fine points until the cows come home, but what matters is the overall trend and the very consistent result that emerges-- in poll after poll, Hillary has both the largest negatives of any of our top Dem candidates and also the poorest performance against the top Republicans.

Obama by contrast, despite his relative lack of name recognition, has the best performance with considerable crossover support from Independents and even many Republicans, with much lower negatives. And he's not just a better national candidate in general, he has a much stronger progressive foundation and excites the Democratic base rather than divides it. This is something that we need at the very least to have a shot in the 2008 elections.