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Ann Selzer "worried "about number of independents in her Des Moines Register Poll [View All]

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Herman Munster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-01-08 07:11 PM
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Ann Selzer "worried "about number of independents in her Des Moines Register Poll
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She doesn't sound very confident about her own poll and recognizes there could be problems with it.

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080101/NEWS09/80101001/-1/2006_primary

Ann Selzer, president of the firm Selzer & Co., which polls for The Des Moines Register, said the poll didn�t �oversample� independents or employ any sort of a new model.

We used the same method we used in 2004 to define likely caucusgoers,� Selzer said. And, yes, we have more independents than in 2004, and more than in our past polls in 2007. It's something we worry about, along with many other things.

Selzer weighted the results to look like the proportion of party participants in 2004 and Clinton would�ve won, she said.

She said: "It is true, Senator Clinton leads with Democrats. It is also true that other campaigns have courted independents."

This is really a sit-and-wait time for pollsters, Selzer said.
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