Reply #6: II just watched her on The News Hour (PBS) [View All]

[Jane Austin]

and she was supremely confident in her methods.

She said the number of new caucus goers in 2004 was 45%, so it's not that amazing that there would be 60% new caucus goers this year with the excitement of several Democratic candidates.

BTW, they didn't call "new caucus goers", they called Iowans and determined then that they were going to the Dem caucus and that they were first- or second- or long-time caucus goers, so it's not like the sample was skewed that way.

She said she didn't assume "anything" that it's what the data showed her.