You are viewing an obsolete version of the DU website which is no longer supported by the Administrators. Visit The New DU.
Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Obama very well could win 33 states + DC by the end of February. [View All]

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-07-08 04:45 AM
Original message
Obama very well could win 33 states + DC by the end of February.
Advertisements [?]
Edited on Thu Feb-07-08 05:16 AM by Drunken Irishman
If Obama sweeps the February primaries and caucuses, which is very possible, he'll enter March with wins in 33 states, plus the District of Columbia. Now let's say Clinton is cash strapped at this point, do you think people will start pressing her to end her campaign and endorse Obama? I think it's a real possibility, since Obama will have dominated the entire month with wins. And much like the news focused on Huckabee, McCain and Romney over Giuliani, since he was stuck in Florida waiting for that primary, it too will discuss Obama's wins, while Clinton puts all her eggs in the Texas and Ohio primaries -- going unnoticed by many.

Then it becomes a perception game. Even though Hillary will say her fire wall is Ohio and Texas, there's a good possibility she won't have the money to really fight Obama in both those states. Which means, if Obama splits them -- or wins both -- it would be extremely difficult for her to continue onward, regardless of how many delegates she has.

From the stories being posted here about her money troubles, writing herself loans and Dean coming out saying he'll do everything he can to have a nominee by March, I think the writing is on the wall. If Clinton can't do well in the next primaries/caucuses this month, there will be some major pressure put on her to end her campaign, so the Democrats aren't stuck fighting one another and the winner can look to McCain instead.

Dean knows it will not benefit the party if this race goes all the way to Denver. Not only will it handicap finances, it essentially gives McCain months of campaigning alone, without really having to take any hits because Obama and Clinton will be focused on trying to beat each other instead of McCain.

That's how I see it, I could be wrong, but I think the window is slowly closing for Clinton's campaign and it might be slammed shut if she can't do well in many states that will vote this month.

Now let me just state that I still think Clinton can win this thing. I'm not counting her out, but it's an uphill battle. She's really good at coming back and I expect her to put up an amazing fight. However, no matter how hard you fight, sometimes you just don't win in the end.

Clinton will bank on Ohio and Texas, but to get there, I think she needs to do something in the states that are voting this month. If she can, I think she'll win the nomination. If she can't, then Obama is going to become the frontrunner and can nearly end her hopes if he splits Ohio/Texas, or wins them both.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC