Reply #10: It's not just OH and PA [View All]

[mohc]

Looking at the rest of the schedule, if I were to select Clinton's 5 best chances, I would pick OH, TX, VT, RI, and PA. I would throw ME in there, but I believe the caucus format favors Obama. KY and WV are tossups at best, and the rest favor Obama. Other than PA, the other 4 states I picked are ALL on March 4. March 4 gives Clinton a chance to sweep 4 states, totaling 370 delegates, although obviously Obama will get some portion of that. With 561 delegates left after March 4, including delegate rich PA, Clinton has an opportunity to turn things around March 4. Only WY and Puerto Rico have caucuses after March 4, and while the field still favors Obama, a little momentum for Clinton could go a long way.