Reply #10: Sadly, No [View All]

[RoyGBiv]

Zogby International Poll. April 15-17, 2004. N=1,049 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.

"Please tell me if your overall opinion of George W. Bush is very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very unfavorable, or you are not familiar enough to form an opinion."


Favorable : 53%
Unfavorable : 45%
Not Familiar/Not Sure : 2%

This is fairly static at a time when his favorability ratings should be plummeting. Comparative to this same poll previously, the rating for Bush is down, but remember that some polls recently have had that rating below 50%.

As for Kerry staying ahead, the Zogby poll results are within the margin of error, so it's still effectively tied for the overall national picture. Again, with all the scandal and bad news coming out of Iraq, Kerry's numbers should be much higher, and the negatives against Bush should be much stronger. There's something *not right* here.

Sorry to sound like a wet blanket, and I'd really like to be uplifted, but this worries me. BushCo's big guns have not been released yet, and Rove is cagey enough and has enough financial resources that he definitely has serious plans for closer to the election. If Kerry can't build a lead by then, I fear he won't be able to maintain such a thin one through that onslaught.