Obama and Hillary supporters: Help me decide. What votes does either one get that Kerry didn't get? [View All]

[Czolgosz]

I know about the changing map, I know about the trend from Republican and independent identified voters to Democratic identified voters, and I know about the weaknesses which McCain has.

I'm not asking where Democratic votes come from in 2008 as contrasted with 2004; I know this is a much better year for Democrats and I believe that either Hillary and Obama have a better chance than Kerry did.

I'm asking: which voter blocks did Kerry lose that Hillary will win or that Obama will win? What voter blocks did Kerry barely win that Hillary or Obama will decisively win? What blocks did Kerry decisively lose that Hillary or Obama will only barely lose?

Between Hillary and Obama, who will do dramatically better than Kerry did among specific voter blocks?

I'm open to persuasion.