Reply #17: Wow. Obama's lead is 11 points when the last 2 nights of polling are averaged [View All]

[gristy]

Rasmussen (rightly, IMO) averages the previous 4 nights of polling to produce their usual numbers.

In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, Obama holds a 50% to 42% advantage over Clinton nationally. That’s the first time Obama has reached the 50% level of support since April 15 (see recent Democratic Nomination results). Tracking poll results are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Two nights of interviews for today’s update were completed after the Indiana and North Carolina Primaries. For those two nights on a stand-alone basis, Obama leads Clinton by eleven percentage points.

I expect it will be Obama-53% Clinton-39% by Monday or Tuesday.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll