Reply #15: It Wasn't Supposed To Matter [View All]

[iamjoy]

It was all a big bluff on everyone's part. Florida bluffed that the DNC wouldn't really take all our delegates. They figured they'd get the money and attention from an early primary. The DNC called that bluff and the Four State Pledge upped the stakes. But see, the DNC was bluffing too. I don't think they ever really intended to shut us out of the convention. And here's where everyone was doing the same bluff.

Everyone figured that the nominee would be decided by Super Duper Tuesday. Then the nominee would, in a gesture of unity and goodwill, advocate for reinstating the delegates of the rogue states. Few would really object - that would just be mean spirited. The overwhelming consensus would be to reinstate the delegates - and it wouldn't really make a difference one way or the other. I mean, imagine if one of the candidates already had 2300 pledged delegates - the nomination is sewn up anyhow.

Well, fate (or whatever you want to call it) threw us all a curve ball. The nomination, while presumably Obama's, is by no means certain. If Clinton gets her way with Michigan and Florida, she only has to swing a few more SuperDelegates her way to be the nominee. And that's why it's such a mess.