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Reply #10: I agree. Maybe Nate is debunking them for hour by hour info on who is in the lead. [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
Overseas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 11:25 AM
Response to Reply #4
10. I agree. Maybe Nate is debunking them for hour by hour info on who is in the lead.
Edited on Tue Nov-04-08 11:27 AM by Overseas
I don't think he was talking about using exit polling to compare with vote totals, as we do to determine the fairness of elections around the world.

That's the only reason I can see for Nate telling people not to follow them.

Because in 2004, the exit polling tracked the vote totals in Ohio, 51 Kerry, 48 Bush until after 11 pm when the VOTE TOTALS DIVERGED SIX POINTS -- Kerry down three, Bush up three. That would have been a red flag in evaluating an election in another country. In ours, the exit polls were adjusted to match the vote counts even though they'd been tracking very closely until that point.

And then there were immediate TV pundit discussions about how exit polls can be faulty. Lots of discussion of faults in exit polls. No discussion of how rare it is to have a SIX POINT DIVERGENCE between exit polling and vote totals, especially with the world renowned firms.

www.stealingamericathemovie.org for a free documentary with footage and lots of sources of data from that evening and other traumatic evenings.
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