Reply #2: June 17th poll [View All]

[Oerdin]

June 17, 2005
CA-48: Special Election Polling
Posted by Tim Tagaris

So, it's closer than I thought it might be:

Conducted by Probolsky Research (R). June 10-14, 2005. N=325 likely special election voters districtwide. (MoE +/- 5.5%)

John Graham (D): 22%

John Campbell (R): 31%
Marilyn Brewer (R): 8%

Don't Know/Undecided: 39%

The Democrat, John Graham is a university professor. For the Republicans, John Campbell is a State Senator and Marilyn Brewer is a business woman.
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I'm not sure John Graham is officially even running yet. He's doing well for a district which is +30% Republican though we should expect this to be a noncompetitive discrict in the end.