Democratic Underground - ERROR, MEA CULPA: THERE IS NO SIMPLE 1% FACTOR; USE THIS INSTEAD

There is no simple 1% adjustment factor.

I'm sorry for the confusion.
Errors are made in the spreadsheet modeling process.
The key is to catch and fix them before posting.
I missed this one.

I have made errors before and will again.
But I always fix them.

THESE ARE THE CORRECT NUMBERS FROM ANOTHER THREAD
	Prel.	Final		122.26	million votes										
	13047	13660	Chg	KP	KF	KChg	BP	BF	BChg	KVP	BVP	KVF	BVF	KChg	BChg
GENDER	(no change from 11027 to 13047)														
Male
	46%	46%	0%	47%	44%	-3%	52%	55%	3%	26.43	29.24	24.75	30.93	-1.69	1.69
Female
	54%	54%	0%	54%	51%	-3%	45%	48%	3%	35.65	29.71	33.67	31.69	-1.98	1.98
	100%	100%				-3.0%			3.0%	62.08	58.95	58.42	62.62	-3.67	3.67
										50.78%	48.22%	47.78%	51.22%	-3.00%	3.00%
															
															
EDUCATION	(no change from 11027 to 13047)														
No
H.S.	4%	4%	0%	52%	50%	-2%	47%	49%	2%	2.54	2.30	2.45	2.40	-0.10	0.10
H.S.
	22%	22%	0%	51%	47%	-4%	48%	52%	4%	13.72	12.91	12.64	13.99	-1.08	1.08
College
	31%	32%	1%	47%	46%	-1%	51%	54%	3%	17.81	19.33	18.00	21.13	-0.38	1.14
ColGrad	26%	26%	0%	48%	46%	-2%	50%	52%	2%	15.26	15.89	14.62	16.53	-0.64	0.64
PostG
	17%	16%	-1%	58%	55%	-3%	40%	44%	4%	12.05	8.31	10.76	8.61	-0.62	0.83
	100%	100%				-2.40%			3.00%	61.39	58.75	58.46	62.65	-2.81	3.78
										50.21%	48.05%	47.82%	51.24%	-2.30%	3.09%
															
	13047	13660	Chg	KP	KF	KChg	BP	BF	BChg	KVP	BVP	KVF	BVF	KChg	BChg
RACE AND GENDER	(no change from 11027 to 13047)														
WM	36%	36%	0%	41%	37%	-4%	58%	62%	4%	18.05	25.53	16.29	27.29	-1.76	1.76
WF	41%	41%	0%	47%	44%	-3%	52%	55%	3%	23.56	26.07	22.06	27.57	-1.50	1.50
NWM	10%	10%	0%	69%	67%	-2%	28%	30%	2%	8.44	3.42	8.19	3.67	-0.24	0.24
NWF	13%	13%	0%	77%	75%	-2%	22%	24%	2%	12.24	3.50	11.92	3.81	-0.32	0.32
	100%	100%				-2.75%			2.75%	62.28	58.51	58.45	62.34	-3.83	3.83
										50.94%	47.86%	47.81%	50.99%	-3.13%	3.13%
	(no change from 11027 to 13047)														
AGE	13047	13660	Chg	KP	KF	KChg	BP	BF	BChg	KVP	BVP	KVF	BVF	KChg	BChg
18-29
	17%	17%	0%	56%	54%	-2%	43%	45%	2%	11.64	8.94	11.22	9.35	-0.42	0.42
30-44
	27%	29%	2%	49%	46%	-3%	50%	53%	3%	16.17	16.51	16.31	18.79	-0.99	0.99
45-59
	30%	30%	0%	51%	48%	-3%	47%	51%	4%	18.71	17.24	17.61	18.71	-1.10	1.47
60+	26%	24%	-2%	48%	46%	-2%	51%	54%	3%	15.26	16.21	13.50	15.84	-0.64	0.95
	100%	100%				-2.5%			3.0%	61.78	58.89	58.64	62.69	-3.14	3.83
										50.53%	48.17%	47.96%	51.28%	-2.57%	3.13%
INCOME	(no change from 11027 to 13047)														
0-$15K
	9%	8%	-1%	66%	63%	-3%	33%	36%	3%	7.26	3.63	6.16	3.52	-0.33	0.33
$15-30
	15%	15%	0%	59%	57%	-2%	39%	42%	3%	10.82	7.15	10.45	7.70	-0.37	0.55
$30-50
	22%	22%	0%	52%	50%	-2%	47%	49%	2%	13.99	12.64	13.45	13.18	-0.54	0.54
$50-75
	23%	23%	0%	45%	43%	-2%	53%	56%	3%	12.65	14.90	12.09	15.75	-0.56	0.84
$75-100
	13%	14%	1%	49%	45%	-4%	50%	55%	5%	7.79	7.95	7.70	9.41	-0.64	0.79
$100-150
	11%	11%	0%	45%	42%	-3%	53%	57%	4%	6.05	7.13	5.65	7.67	-0.40	0.54
$150-200
	4%	4%	0%	47%	42%	-5%	53%	58%	5%	2.30	2.59	2.05	2.84	-0.24	0.24
$200+
	3%	3%	0%	41%	35%	-6%	58%	63%	5%	1.50	2.13	1.28	2.31	-0.22	0.18
	100%	100%				-3.38%			3.75%	62.36	58.12	58.84	62.38	-3.30	4.02
										51.01%	47.54%	48.13%	51.02%	-2.70%	3.29%
IDEOLOGY	(no change from 11027 to 13047)														
	13047	13660	Chg	KP	KF	KChg	BP	BF	BChg	KVP	BVP	KVF	BVF	KChg	BChg
Liberal
	22%	21%	-1%	86%	85%	-1%	12%	13%	1%	23.13	3.23	21.82	3.34	-0.27	0.27
Moderate
	45%	45%	0%	57%	54%	-3%	41%	45%	4%	31.36	22.56	29.71	24.76	-1.65	2.20
Conservative
	33%	34%	1%	16%	15%	-1%	82%	84%	2%	6.46	33.08	6.24	34.92	-0.40	0.81
	100%	100%				-1.67%			2.33%	60.95	58.87	57.77	63.01	-2.32	3.28
										49.85%	48.15%	47.25%	51.54%	-1.90%	2.68%
RELIGION	(no change from 11027 to 13047)														
Prot	53%	53%	0%	43%	40%	-3%	56%	59%	3%	27.86	36.29	25.92	38.23	-1.94	1.94
Catholic
	27%	27%	0%	50%	47%	-3%	49%	52%	3%	16.51	16.17	15.51	17.17	-0.99	0.99
Jewish	3%	3%	0%	77%	74%	-3%	23%	25%	2%	2.82	0.84	2.71	0.92	-0.11	0.07
Other
	7%	7%	0%	75%	74%	-1%	20%	23%	3%	6.42	1.71	6.33	1.97	-0.09	0.26
None
	10%	10%	0%	70%	67%	-3%	29%	31%	2%	8.56	3.55	8.19	3.79	-0.37	0.24
	100%	100%				-2.60%			2.60%	62.17	58.56	58.67	62.07	-3.50	3.51
										50.85%	47.90%	47.99%	50.77%	-2.86%	2.87%
MILITARY	(no change from 11027 to 13047)														
	13047	13660	Chg	KP	KF	KChg	BP	BF	BChg	KVP	BVP	KVF	BVF	KChg	BChg
Yes
	18%	18%	0%	43%	41%	-2%	55%	57%	2%	9.46	12.10	9.02	12.54	-0.44	0.44
No
	82%	82%	0%	53%	50%	-3%	46%	49%	3%	53.13	46.12	50.13	49.12	-3.01	3.01
	100%	100%				-2.5%			2.5%	62.60	58.22	59.15	61.67	-3.48	3.48
										51.20%	47.62%	48.38%	50.44%	-2.84%	2.84%
WHEN DECIDED	(no change from 11027 to 13047)														
	13047	13660	Chg	KP	KF	KChg	BP	BF	BChg	KVP	BVP	KVF	BVF	KChg	BChg
Today
	6%	5%	-1%	53%	52%	-1%	40%	45%	5%	3.89	2.93	3.18	2.75	-0.07	0.37
Last3Days
	3%	4%	1%	53%	55%	2%	41%	42%	1%	1.94	1.50	2.69	2.05	0.07	0.04
Last Week
	2%	2%	0%	48%	48%	0%	51%	51%	0%	1.17	1.25	1.17	1.25	0.00	0.00
Last Month
	10%	10%	0%	60%	54%	-6%	38%	44%	6%	7.34	4.65	6.60	5.38	-0.73	0.73
Before
	79%	79%	0%	50%	46%	-4%	50%	53%	3%	48.29	48.29	44.43	51.19	-3.86	2.90
	100%	100%				-1.80%			3.00%	62.63	58.62	58.07	62.62	-4.60	4.03
										51.23%	47.95%	47.50%	51.22%	-3.76%	3.30%
															
	13047	13660	Chg	KP	KF	KChg	BP	BF	BChg	KVP	BVP	KVF	BVF	KChg	BChg
REGION	(no change from 11027 to 13047)														
East	22%	22%	0%	58%	56%	-2%	41%	43%	2%	15.60	11.03	15.06	11.57	-0.54	0.54
Midwest	26%	26%	0%	50%	48%	-2%	49%	51%	2%	15.89	15.58	15.26	16.21	-0.64	0.64
South	31%	32%	1%	44%	42%	-2%	54%	58%	4%	16.68	20.47	16.43	22.69	-0.76	1.52
West	21%	20%	-1%	53%	50%	-3%	45%	49%	4%	13.61	11.55	12.23	11.98	-0.77	1.03
	100%	100%				-1.98%			3.00%	61.78	58.62	58.98	62.45	-2.70	3.72
										50.53%	47.95%	48.24%	51.08%	-2.21%	3.04%
															
PARTY ID	(Rep 36% in 11027)														
Democrat
	38%	37%	-1%	90%	89%	-1%	9%	11%	2%	41.81	4.18	40.26	4.98	-0.46	0.93
Republican
	35%	37%	2%	7%	6%	-1%	92%	93%	1%	3.00	39.37	2.71	42.07	-0.43	0.43
Indep	27%	26%	-1%	52%	49%	-3%	45%	48%	3%	17.17	14.85	15.58	15.26	-0.99	0.99
	100%	100%				-1.67%			2.00%	61.97	58.40	58.55	62.30	-1.88	2.35
										50.69%	47.77%	47.89%	50.96%	-1.54%	1.92%
	13047	13660	Chg	KP	KF	KChg	BP	BF	BChg	KVP	BVP	KVF	BVF	KChg	BChg
VOTED IN 2000	(no change from 11027 to 13047)														
No	17%	17%	0%	57%	54%	-3%	41%	45%	4%	11.85	8.52	11.22	9.35	-0.62	0.83
Gore	38%	37%	-1%	91%	90%	-1%	8%	10%	2%	42.28	3.72	40.71	4.52	-0.46	0.93
Bush	41%	43%	2%	9%	9%	0%	90%	91%	1%	4.51	45.11	4.73	47.84	0.00	0.50
Other	4%	3%	-1%	65%	71%	6%	13%	21%	8%	3.18	0.64	2.60	0.77	0.29	0.39
	100%	100%				0.50%			3.75%	61.81	57.99	59.27	62.49	-0.79	2.65
Reply #29: ERROR, MEA CULPA: THERE IS NO SIMPLE 1% FACTOR; USE THIS INSTEAD [View All]
