Reply #22: Answers [View All]

[TruthIsAll]

You
How do the raw exit poll responses relate the actual vote counts in the 2000 and 2004 election?

Me
They are closer than the impossible final, but not perfect. 41% Bush/39% Gore is still too high for Bush.
His max is 39+%

You
Do the last 660 respondents (or the last ~165 vote2000 responders) contaminate the results in the final raw exit poll?

Me
You must forget about the final 660. They were just an artifice in the "adjustment" of the 13047. They are obviously not based on reality, if you consider Kerry LOST votes and Bush gained them all in going from 13047 to 13660.

You
If the last 660 respondents have indeed contaminated the poll, then is it really possible to make assumptions based on the final poll or the raw responses that the final poll is based on?

Me
Of course. It shows that the 13047 pristine poll was close to being right, and that the 13660 final which matched the vote was obviously wrong, as is proven by three bogus demographics:

PartyID: 37/37/26?
No way. It was 39/35/27 in the prior to elections.

How Voted 2000: 43/37?
Not possible. Bring it down to a still unbelievable 41/39, and Kerry wins. Bring it down to 39/40, Kerry wins in a landslide.

Gender: 51 Kerry/48 Bush?
Impossible. Gore got 54% of females.