Reply #13: I Don't Remember the Spread in Indiana [View All]

[On the Road]

Was there 5% or more difference between the initial exit polls and the official vote count? If all your refusals had been Bush supporters, was it enough to cause the divergence between the vote and the exit polls all by itself?

Up to now, I've been assuming that the pollsters reweighted the sample based on official turnout, which may have been included phantom Bush votes and not included lost Kerry votes. This seems like a legitimate check to make sure that the geography was proportionate, and would make the exit polls agree with the official count. It would NOT exclude fraud.

But this comment of yours interested me:

However, I've read elsewhere that the reweighting occurred late at night when ACTUAL VOTE tabulations were intermingled with exit polling.

Are you saying that the exit polls were forced to agree with the official vote? That would be illegitimate. I've tried to find details on the web, but have had difficulty. Would appreciate any insight.