Reply #37: "Did the handcounted venues match the pre-election polling?" [View All]

[Maven]

Not really.

In fact, Clinton won decisively in several hand-counted municipalities, just not as many as Obama. Likewise, Obama won decisively (sometimes by a percentage ratio of 2:1) in many machine-counted municipalities.

I gave some examples here:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x4009174#4012627

The problem is, even if you had estimates you're talking about getting the vote count right to within a couple hundred votes, without leaving evidence of overvoting (of which there was none). It just doesn't seem remotely likely given the setup that NH uses and the order in which different venues rendered results. Nor would it even be necessary (or even desirable) to accomplish such a neat pattern to throw the election.