Reply #115: Licking County: % of persons under 18 is 26% not 28.2% [View All]

[Iceburg]

in April 2000 as per http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/39/39089.html

150,634 * .74 = 111,469

Population, percent change, April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2003 is 3.4%
8 months April 2000 to Dec 2000 (incl)
12 months Jan 2001 to Dec 2001 (incl)
12 months Jan 2002 to Dec 2002 (incl)
6 months Jan 2003 to June 2003 (incl)
--
38 months population changed 3.4 % (.034 change in 38 months ~ .000895/month)

There are 17 months in the period July 1, 2003 to Nov 1, 2004
.000895 x 17 = 2291 increase in population, (.74 or 1696 persons of voting age)

Based on those estimates, we would have 111,469 + 1696 = 113,165 eligible voters on Nov 1,2004

According to http://www.sos.state.oh.us/sos/results/11-02-04.htm we have 111,387 registered voters

Bottom line, even when we estimate an increase in population using census data (population change) we still end up with the stunning data that 99% of the eligible voters (113,165) registered to vote (111,387)