Reply #36: Ya, but these folks work more from a short-term political framework [View All]

[salin]

rather than from a military tactis framework, nor a policy discussion (weighing positives and negatives) framework - and they are getting very, very desperate to find a way to pull the American people back behind them. If in their desperation they amplified the belief among themselves, that doing this would make the american public uniformly beholden to them (ala they got rid of the big bad Iranian threat), no telling whether or not any rationale minds would point out the many, many reasons that they should not do it.

Their MO is to make threats and broadcast their intentions. They did this with both Afghanistan and Iraq. And per giving them time to nuke us first? I thought it was widely accepted that they don't actually have any nukes (yet), and that this would be "preemptive" to prevent nuke capabilities from becoming nukes (their arguments) and thus they couldn't fire anything at us - or at a closer ally.

I go back and forth as to whether or not I think they are blowing steam, or likely to do nothing. Intellect says they won't do it - too many real constraints. HOwever there are times when the niggling senses makes me worry about the lack of restraints they have demonstrated time and time again - and their ability to read things that they cull intentionally to read a particular way - and then decide that is reality and to act on that reality - all real concerns be damned.