Reply #3: We have a net gain of one or two seats in the Senate. [View All]

[Radical Activist]

I think Senate losses will likely be balanced by taking Republican seats in MO, OH and KY. Very few house seats will be lost. People make a big mistake by thinking that polls taken 6 months before an election have anything to do with the eventual outcome. That's why the media kept telling us Hillary was sure to win the Democratic nomination.

Incumbents rarely lose House districts. I predict that less than a dozen House seats will change hands one way or the other. The real change in House seats will come in the 2012 election after redistricting. Then we'll see big changes.

FYI, I have a poll asking for Senate predictions.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=389&topic_id=8457568&mesg_id=8457568