As President Bush presses for democratic change in Iraq and the Middle East, he has stressed free elections as the best measure of progress in this bold political experiment. But a number of Middle Eastern experts say that for any political reforms to gain a strong foothold, he will have to focus on an area his administration has all but ignored -- the economies of the Middle East, which are among the most closed in the world.
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Nearly every Middle Eastern government holds monopolies over vast sectors of its economy, a cause of stagnation. Per capita income has dropped 40 percent across the region since 1982, according to a recent study by the Institute for International Economics.
The Arab League projects that unemployment could explode from 15 million people out of work now to 50 million over the next 15 years....
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"This region is still light years behind," she
(Charlene Barshefsky, U.S. trade representative during the Clinton administration) said. "A more radical approach is needed. It isn't only behind in an absolute sense, it is falling further behind in a relative sense, and it will get worse if it doesn't move quickly.
"Economic growth in that region is absolutely essential if peace is to sustainable. There has to be a dividend for the people there. Democracy doesn't put bread on the table. Democracy won't employ the 50 percent of the people out of jobs in some of these countries. Democracy is unsustainable without growth and revitalization throughout this region."
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2005/03/17/MNG8ABQK451.DTL