Document Shows BP Estimates Spill Up to 100, 000 Bpd

[Elmore Furth]

Source: Reuters

By REUTERS
Published: June 20, 2010
Filed at 1:37 p.m. ET

Skip to next paragraph WASHINGTON (Reuters) - An internal BP Plc document released on Sunday by a senior U.S. congressional Democrat shows that the company estimates that a worst-case scenario rate for the Gulf of Mexico oil spill could be about 100,000 barrels of oil per day.

The estimate of 100,000 barrels (4.2 million gallons/15.9 million liters) of oil per day is far higher than the current U.S. government estimate of up to 60,000 barrels (2.5 million gallons/9.5 million liters) per day gushing from the ruptured offshore well into the sea.

The document appears to estimate the highest potential flow of oil if key components of the well fail. The document does not indicate that the 100,000 barrels per day is BP's estimate of the actual amount flowing from the ruptured Gulf of Mexico well.

The document states, "If BOP (blowout preventer) and wellhead are removed and if we have incorrectly modeled the restrictions -- the rate could be as high as ~ 100,000 barrels per day up the casing or 55,000 barrels per day up the annulus (low probability worst cases)"



Read more: http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2010/06/20/news/news-us-oil-spill-markey.html?_r=1&ref=news

[pretzel4gore]

1. but 'newsweek' says only few thousand gallons a day!

and they put in graphs/pictures and are in every waiting room on earth. MAYBE...Someone should 'citizen arrest' newsweek edturds for fraud....

[dipsydoodle]

2. So

are there any indications elsewhere that they actually intend to remove the blowout preventer and wellhead ?

[Poll_Blind]

3. CNN picked this up as well, it's their top story at the moment. K&R!

PB

[dipsydoodle]

5. Sky News had it 4 hours ago.

.

[LaurenG]

4. Scientists interviewed by NPR were saying it's been 100,000 bpd since it started.

:(

[defendandprotect]

6. Thanks -- as far as I can see BP lies about everything . . .

and somehow Obama is going to have to get together some people to figure out

what the hell is really going on out there -- and the condition of the well,

below the surface!!

[bc3000]

7. My 150,000 pick in the office pool is looking better all the time.

[FedUpWithIt All]

8. This makes the methane discussion even more upsetting.

At least 4.5 billion cubic feet of natural gas — and possibly almost twice that amount — have leaked since April 20. That's based on estimates from the U.S. Geological Survey's "flow team" that 2,900 cubic feet of natural gas are escaping for every barrel of oil.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=389&topic_id=8593690&mesg_id=8596913

2,900 cubic feet of natural gas per barrel. Completely unreal.
:scared:

[metapunditedgy]

9. The scientists who, early on, gave such high estimates got a lot of flak.

This is back when BP was still claiming 5000 barrels/day.

To be fair, there is an important difference between saying "as high as 100K barrels" and saying "the flow IS" 100K barrels.

[AllTooEasy]

10. overblown

This is an absolute worst case scenario based on events that never happened, aren't happening, and will not happen: well head and blowout preventers being removed.

Plus these are estimates, not actuall events. Like estimating that England's soccer team could win the World Cup and the reality that they are a bunch of overpaid, overconfident, overhyped chimps that couldn't kick the ball into the ocean.

[pocoloco]

12. Events "aren't happening"???

You have firsthand info that there is no erosion and the flow is not increasing??

[grahamhgreen]

11. Suprise suprise suprise!

[End Of The Road]

13. This is really misleading

IF IF IF the BOP and well head were removed or blown off -- the worst case scenario -- the spill could be as high as 100K bpd.

That IF has NOT happened. Could it happen? Perhaps. Is it likely? From what I've read, it's probably not likely.

Keep your fingers crossed for a successful bottom kill.

[happygoluckytoyou]

14. it is time to apologize to BP for putting our ocean in the way of their oil.... SORRY MFs